Match Info

MHL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Nagorny Arena (Nizhny Novgorod)


	Chaika		Loko

	1	X	2
	3.7	4.2	1.84
	3.66	4.16	1.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↓ (3.98)	4.18 ↓ (4.2)	1.8 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaika
25.5%

Draw
22.4%

Loko
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

22.2%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

24.6%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Loko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loko than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Chaika - Loko Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
74. Sabitov M. (G)	30. Safonov S. (G)
44. Yatsenko A.	52. Chaly G. (A)
21. Silayev A.	71. Malkov N.
93. Pugachyov G.	17. Kotkov M.
41. Fyodorov V.	79. Elblaus A.
91. Opolinsky M.	80. Yelezov A.
Line 2
28. Gavrilov L.	39. Zilev L. (A)
65. Chesnokov I.	48. Starkov V.
9. Skvortsov S.	21. Dudorov V. (A)
13. Svishchyov K.	7. Yemelyanov K.
88. Mukhanov T.	14. Pustovoy A.
Line 3
72. Salnikov A.	22. Andriyanov Y.
19. Anisimov A.	57. Shapkin A.
7. Glazunov M.	95. Meshkov S.
5. Gornov S.	96. Kuznetsov V.
71. Laptev V.	35. Shlyukov A.
Line 4
81. Mullerov I.	2. Silayev Y.
17. Salnikov L.	81. Dorogushkin I.
12. Mishin V.	55. Akhmetshin M.
97. Kulyabin A.	74. Luttsev R.
	16. Maslenitsyn M.
Substitutes
75. Melnikov Y.	94. Nikulshin N. (G)
50. Rybkin Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
03:12, 1 - 0, Fyodorov V. (G), Pugachyov G. (A),
07:18, 2 - 0, Mukhanov T. (G), Skvortsov S. (A), Svishchyov K. (A2)
11:12, 2 - 1, Pustovoy A. (G), Zilev L. (A),
19:42, 2 - 2, Luttsev R. (G), Maslenitsyn M. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:44, 2 - 3, Pustovoy A. (G), Dudorov V. (A),
19:19, 2 - 4, Kuznetsov V. (G), Shlyukov A. (A),
19:57, 3 - 4, Salnikov L. (G), Mishin V. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
08:35, 3 - 5, Yelezov A. (G),

Preview

Loko (MHL) leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Loko will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 49:63. (average 2.5:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chaika won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 2.3:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Chaika - the odds 3.98 are the expected chance of winning is 23.39%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chaika Nizhny Novgorod
MHL
03.05.26	Loko - Chaika	2:4 ✺
30.04.26	Chaika - Loko	2:1 OT ✺
29.04.26	Chaika - Loko	2:3 OT ✺
26.04.26	Loko - Chaika	4:1 ✺
25.04.26	Loko - Chaika	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLLL
- HC Loko Yaroslavl
MHL
03.05.26	Loko - Chaika	2:4 ✺
30.04.26	Chaika - Loko	2:1 OT ✺
29.04.26	Chaika - Loko	2:3 OT ✺
26.04.26	Loko - Chaika	4:1 ✺
25.04.26	Loko - Chaika	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
03.05.26	Loko - Chaika	2:4
30.04.26	Chaika - Loko	2:1 OT
29.04.26	Chaika - Loko	2:3 OT
26.04.26	Loko - Chaika	4:1
25.04.26	Loko - Chaika	5:4
06.12.25	Chaika - Loko	4:5 OT
22.10.25	Loko - Chaika	3:1

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