Match Info

MHL

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday


	Chaika		Mamonty Yugry

	1	X	2
	2.2	4	2.9
	2.12	3.9	2.77	Watch
	2	3.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.16)	3.92 ↓ (4.6)	2.84 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaika
43.9%

Draw
23.6%

Mamonty Yugry
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

20.3%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

20.8%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Mamonty Yugry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamonty Yugry than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Chaika - Mamonty Yugry Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
74. Sabitov M. (G)	29. Fudymovsky M. (G)
65. Chesnokov I. (C)	5. Podguzov A. (A)
19. Anisimov A.	23. Potapov F.
8. Kozin V.	10. Starostin D.
15. Matyuk A.	68. Sukharev K. (A)
9. Skvortsov S.	85. Frolov G.
Line 2
23. Guryev S.	91. Sakharov M. (C)
76. Belyakov K.	93. Kharitonov T.
75. Melnikov Y.	14. Malykhin T.
7. Glazunov M.	84. Galimuk R.
97. Kulyabin A.	77. Kochurin S.
Line 3
95. Prisekin N.	86. Manuilov A.
81. Mullerov I.	43. Nagovitsyn A.
16. Bessonov A.	3. Kruglov M.
12. Mishin V.	24. Andriyevsky S.
77. Stafeyev G.	21. Menshchikov I.
Line 4
11. Ponkratov P.	20. Krylov L.
73. Anisimov Y.	63. Izyurov A.
86. Popov Y.	72. Kaliyev A.
17. Salnikov L. (A)
14. Shcherbakov K.
Substitutes
30. Gritsenko Y. (G)	25. Didenko D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
06:55, 1 - 0, Salnikov L. (G), Popov Y. (A),
09:44, 2 - 0, Kozin V. (G), Mishin V. (A), Bessonov A. (A2)
10:43, 3 - 0, Melnikov Y. (G), Kulyabin A. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
03:01, 4 - 0, Ponkratov P. (G), Matyuk A. (A), Anisimov Y. (A2)
12:21, 5 - 0, Kozin V. (G), Matyuk A. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:28, 5 - 1, Andriyevsky S. (G), Kruglov M. (A), Nagovitsyn A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chaika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Chaika has had a series of home games.

Recently, Mamonty Yugry has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 42:36. (average 2.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chaika won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 2.6:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Chaika - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.17%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Mamonty Yugry - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.56%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chaika Nizhny Novgorod
MHL
16.12.25	Chaika - Mamonty Yugry	2:1 ✺
10.12.25	Chaika - MHC Spartak	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Chaika - SKA-1946	1:4 ✺
06.12.25	Chaika - Loko	4:5 OT ✺
01.12.25	Tyumensky Legion - Chaika	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW
- Mamonty Yugry
MHL
16.12.25	Chaika - Mamonty Yugry	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Irbis Kazan - Mamonty Yugry	3:1 ✺
12.12.25	Irbis Kazan - Mamonty Yugry	3:0 ✺
05.12.25	Kuznetskie Medvedi - Mamonty Yugry	2:3 ✺
04.12.25	Kuznetskie Medvedi - Mamonty Yugry	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
16.12.25	Chaika - Mamonty Yugry	2:1
18.04.25	Chaika - Mamonty Yugry	4:1
17.04.25	Chaika - Mamonty Yugry	2:1
14.04.25	Mamonty Yugry - Chaika	1:2 penalties
13.04.25	Mamonty Yugry - Chaika	2:1 penalties
25.02.25	Mamonty Yugry - Chaika	4:0
24.02.25	Mamonty Yugry - Chaika	1:0

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