Match Info

MHL

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Chaika		Sibirskie Snaypery

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.4	3.42	Watch
	2.05	4.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.62)	4.4 ↓ (5.2)	3.16 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaika
48.9%

Draw
21.4%

Sibirskie Snaypery
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

18%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

17.4%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chaika's form might have worsened.

Sibirskie Snaypery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sibirskie Snaypery's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chaika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sibirskie Snaypery than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Chaika - Sibirskie Snaypery Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
50. Rybkin Y. (G)	31. Podomatsky M. (G)
95. Prisekin N.	57. Khlebkov G.
23. Guryev S.	35. Kosachyov Y. (C)
93. Pugachyov G.	97. Isayenko K.
17. Salnikov L. (A)	96. Klyosov Y.
77. Stafeyev G.	99. Aplin T. (A)
Line 2
65. Chesnokov I.	69. Kukhno A.
73. Anisimov Y.	44. Popov T.
91. Opolinsky M.	34. Polezhayev A.
15. Matyuk A.	90. Golovnyov Y.
9. Skvortsov S. (A)	32. Nenakhov M. (A)
Line 3
28. Gavrilov L. (C)	84. Tsevelev V.
96. Maslochenko P.	14. Grunin A.
86. Popov Y.	9. Gorokhov P.
12. Mishin V.	71. Pugachyov D.
97. Kulyabin A.	91. Lyuzenkov D.
Line 4
81. Mullerov I.	66. Gusev Y.
98. Khvostov Z.	4. Absalyamov I.
8. Kozin V.	17. Bondar Y.
5. Gornov S.	11. Filimoshkin K.
16. Bessonov A.	19. Ryabov I.
Substitutes
74. Sabitov M. (G)	74. Bykov I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
02:47, 1 - 0, Kozin V. (G), Bessonov A. (A), Gornov S. (A2)
17:18, 2 - 0, Kulyabin A. (G), Popov Y. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
11:18, 2 - 1, Nenakhov M. (G), Khlebkov G. (A), Golovnyov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
15:02, 3 - 1, Pugachyov G. (G), Gavrilov L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 3.

Chaika has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sibirskie Snaypery is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chaika may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Chaika has had a series of away games.

Recently, Sibirskie Snaypery has had a series of home games.

Chaika is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chaika won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 80:55. (average 4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chaika won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 46:28. (average 4.6:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Sibirskie Snaypery - the odds 3.86 are the expected chance of winning is 24.24%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chaika Nizhny Novgorod
MHL
15.09.25	Chaika - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	2:1 OT ✺
11.09.25	Tolpar - Chaika	2:3 ✺
10.09.25	Tolpar - Chaika	5:2 ✺
07.09.25	Stalnye Lisy - Chaika	6:3 ✺
05.09.25	Stalnye Lisy - Chaika	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLLL
- Sibirskie Snaypery
MHL
15.09.25	Irbis Kazan - Sibirskie Snaypery	3:0 ✺
10.09.25	Sibirskie Snaypery - Sputnik Almetyevsk	6:2 ✺
09.09.25	Sibirskie Snaypery - Sputnik Almetyevsk	4:1 ✺
06.09.25	Sibirskie Snaypery - Reaktor	5:1 ✺
05.09.25	Sibirskie Snaypery - Reaktor	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
17.03.25	Chaika - Sibirskie Snaypery	8:4
16.03.25	Chaika - Sibirskie Snaypery	5:2
05.09.24	Sibirskie Snaypery - Chaika	5:1
04.09.24	Sibirskie Snaypery - Chaika	4:6
21.02.24	Sibirskie Snaypery - Chaika	2:0
19.02.24	Sibirskie Snaypery - Chaika	5:3
09.09.23	Chaika - Sibirskie Snaypery	5:6 OT

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