Match Info
MHLDate: 11 September 2025, Thursday ๐ Finished
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Tolpar |
|
Chaika |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.06 |
4.3 |
2.86 |
|
 |
2.09 |
4.25 |
2.76 |
 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.8) |
4.28 ↓
(4.6) |
2.81 ↑
(2.02) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tolpar
45% | Draw
21.8% | Chaika
33.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tolpar's performance.Chaika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chaika might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-11%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tolpar that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaika than the current prediction. (+12.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chaika could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Tolpar - Chaika Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
99.  Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
| 50. Rybkin Y. (G)
|
16. Khusainov R.
| 95. Prisekin N.
|
23. Khafzetdinov A. (A)
| 19. Anisimov A.
|
97. Faizov A. (A)
| 75. Melnikov Y.
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92. Ilyichyov M.
| 41. Fyodorov V.
|
28. Akhsyanov B.
| 9. Skvortsov S. (A)
|
| Line 2 |
|---|
36. Gunkin Y.
| 28. Gavrilov L. (C)
|
98. Zayets D.
| 65. Chesnokov I.
|
11. Shaykhlislamov A.
| 93. Pugachyov G.
|
37. Zagrebin M. (C)
| 17. Salnikov L.
|
9. Petrenko D.
| 77. Stafeyev G.
|
| Line 3 |
|---|
24. Karasyov M.
| 23. Guryev S.
|
13. Korenev D.
| 81.  Mullerov I.
|
18. Kireyev R.
| 7. Glazunov M. (A)
|
87. Buzdyganov V.
| 5. Gornov S.
|
74. Adamyan A.
| 91. Opolinsky M.
|
| Line 4 |
|---|
58. Plotnikov D.
| 96. Maslochenko P.
|
63. Makarkin A.
| 97. Kulyabin A.
|
67. Khabibullin A.
| 12. Mishin V.
|
75. Shebyakin M.
| 86. Popov Y.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
30. Povarov M. (G)
| 8. Kozin V.
|
78.  Zhuk A.
| 74. Sabitov M. (G)
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 03:22, 0 - 1, Popov Y. (G), Mishin V. (A), Anisimov A. (A2)
- 08:12, 1 - 1, Shaykhlislamov A. (G), Gunkin Y. (A), Adamyan A. (A2)
- 18:49, 1 - 2, Melnikov Y. (G), Fyodorov V. (A), Gavrilov L. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:15, 2 - 2, Adamyan A. (G), Buzdyganov V. (A),
- 15:45, 2 - 3, Glazunov M. (G), Gornov S. (A), Gavrilov L. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 2.Tolpar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Chaika's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Chaika may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Tolpar has had a series of home games.Recently, Chaika has had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.We predict that Tolpar will win today's game, with odds of 2.11.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 49:56. (average 2.5:2.8).Including home matches between the teams, Tolpar won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:21. (average 3.1:2.1).
Latest Head to Head
| MHL | | | 10.09.25 | Tolpar - Chaika | 5:2 | | Club Friendly Ice Hockey | | | 18.08.25 | Chaika - Tolpar | 4:2 | | MHL | | | 25.12.24 | Tolpar - Chaika | 4:7 | | 11.12.24 | Chaika - Tolpar | 2:1 | | 25.12.23 | Tolpar - Chaika | 4:3 | | 24.12.23 | Tolpar - Chaika | 3:5 | | 28.10.23 | Chaika - Tolpar | 6:1 |
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