Match Info

Ligue Magnus - Play Out - Round 3

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Centre sportif Richard-Bozon (Chamonix)


	Chamonix		Gap

	1	X	2
	2.11	3.85	2.7
	2.1	4	2.75
	2.13	4.09	2.8	Watch
	2.05	4	2.7
	2.08	4	2.72	Watch
	2.02	4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.1)	3.99 ↓ (4.06)	2.72 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chamonix
43.7%

Draw
22.8%

Gap
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

22.6%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

26%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Chamonix have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Gap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chamonix than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chamonix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Chamonix - Gap Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chamonix will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Aubrun T. (G)	38. Richard G. (G)
15. Convert L.	86. Cerda J.
51. Delmas Q.	9. Cerda P.
46. Durand C. (C)	20. Chauvel R.
27. Fortin J.	32. Cruchandeau C.
8. Johansson A. T.	48. Dorey A.
91. Kivinen S.	73. Gagnon R.
5. Koponen S. (A)	7. Langlais C. (C)
96. Lopachuk S.	53. Matus R. (A)
7. Pantzare I.	14. Murnieks D.
25. Penz J.	95. Orlov M.
69. Raska A.	21. Panasenko B.
16. Robert C.	49. Pulkkinen T.
26. Salituro D.	12. Raabe D.
95. Simond C.	15. Santerno L.
6. Tarabusi A.	91. Siraudin P.
19. Tugnutt M. (A)	78. Takkunen D.
21. Ville M.	77. Ten Braak B.
50. Wahlgren T.	47. Thillet D. (A)
Substitutes
30. Boursier T. (G)	1. Cointre F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
03:06, 1 - 0, Tugnutt M. (G), Ville M. (A),
06:31, 2 - 0, Ville M. (G), Simond C. (A),
17:55, 3 - 0, Tugnutt M. (G), Pantzare I. (A), Koponen S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:09, 3 - 1, Murnieks D. (G), Santerno L. (A), Dorey A. (A2)
17:29, 4 - 1, Fortin J. (G), Salituro D. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
11:03, 5 - 1, Tarabusi A. (G), Simond C. (A), Johansson A. T. (A2)
11:34, 6 - 1, Tugnutt M. (G), Durand C. (A),
11:46, 6 - 2, Panasenko B. (G), Pulkkinen T. (A), Dorey A. (A2)
18:19, 7 - 2, Simond C. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chamonix won 4.

Chamonix is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gap's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chamonix won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 71:66. (average 3.6:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chamonix won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:24. (average 3.7:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Chamonix Mont-Blanc	9	5	0	2	2	32:31	17
10	Gap	9	2	1	1	5	18:34	9

Last Results with these Odds

Chamonix - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.71%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Gap - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.68%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamonix HC
French Ligue Magnus
17.03.26	Chamonix - Anglet	5:3 ✺
13.03.26	Cergy-Pontoise - Chamonix	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Chamonix - Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble	0:3 ✺
04.03.26	Anglet - Chamonix	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Chamonix - Cergy-Pontoise	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL
- Rapaces de Gap
French Ligue Magnus
17.03.26	Gap - Cergy-Pontoise	2:3 ✺
13.03.26	Anglet - Gap	3:5 ✺
06.03.26	Gap - Nice	4:1 ✺
04.03.26	Spartiates de Marseille - Gap	4:2 ✺
01.03.26	Gap - Briançon	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue Magnus
30.01.26	Chamonix - Gap	6:3
23.12.25	Gap - Chamonix	5:2
French Hockey Cup
26.11.25	Gap - Chamonix	3:4
French Ligue Magnus
31.10.25	Gap - Chamonix	2:3 penalties
12.10.25	Chamonix - Gap	1:0
14.02.25	Chamonix - Gap	3:4 penalties
03.01.25	Gap - Chamonix	4:5 penalties

Chamonix - Gap: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide