Match Info

Ligue Magnus - Round 24

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Centre sportif Richard-Bozon (Chamonix)


	Chamonix		Rouen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.9	5.2	1.35
	6.66	5.54	1.35	Watch
	7	5.5	1.29
	5.76	5.15	1.37	Watch
	6.5	7.25	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.36 ↑ (6.24)	5.73 ↑ (5.32)	1.32 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chamonix
14.4%

Draw
16%

Rouen
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

17.4%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

19.1%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chamonix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Rouen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chamonix than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rouen than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rouen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chamonix - Rouen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Garnier R. (G)	29. Mugnier L. (G)
15. Convert L.	65. Bouramman G.
51. Delmas Q.	62. Chakiachvili F. (A)
46. Durand C. (C)	10. Colomban R.
27. Fortin J.	72. Gresock C.
8. Johansson A. T.	2. Holway P.
91. Kivinen S.	13. Lafrance S.
5. Koponen S. (A)	27. Lamperier L. (C)
96. Lopachuk S.	6. Nesa V.
7. Pantzare I.	11. Perret T.
25. Penz J.	14. Phelan J.
69. Raska A.	18. Rech A.
16. Robert C.	94. Regush M.
26. Salituro D.	5. Roy P.
95. Simond C.	7. Schmitt C.
6. Tarabusi A.	21. Simonsen T.
19. Tugnutt M. (A)	36. Tessier J.
21. Ville M.	91. Vigners R.
50. Wahlgren T.	8. Yeo D. (A)
Substitutes
30. Boudet B. (G)	30. Carruth M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:54, 0 - 1, Rech A. (G), Lafrance S. (A), Simonsen T. (A2)
04:59, 1 - 1, Johansson A. T. (G), Lopachuk S. (A), Wahlgren T. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
00:32, 2 - 1, Tugnutt M. (G), Fortin J. (A), Tarabusi A. (A2)
01:34, 2 - 2, Schmitt C. (G), Perret T. (A), Phelan J. (A2)
03:23, 2 - 3, Rech A. (G), Simonsen T. (A), Chakiachvili F. (A2)
09:37, 3 - 3, Koponen S. (G), Pantzare I. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
04', 4 - 3, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chamonix won 0.

Chamonix has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rouen is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Rouen is the clear favorite.

We predict that Rouen will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chamonix won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 48:94. (average 2.4:4.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Chamonix won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:49. (average 2.3:4.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Rouen	9	6	1	0	2	29:15	20
4	Chamonix Mont-Blanc	9	5	0	2	2	32:31	17

Last Results with these Odds

Chamonix - the odds 6.24 are the expected chance of winning is 14.86%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamonix HC
French Ligue Magnus
09.01.26	Angers - Chamonix	6:2 ✺
French Hockey Cup
07.01.26	Rouen - Chamonix	4:3 penalties ✺
French Ligue Magnus
04.01.26	Chamonix - Nice	3:5 ✺
02.01.26	Bordeaux - Chamonix	3:0 ✺
30.12.25	Chamonix - Spartiates de Marseille	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dragons de Rouen
French Ligue Magnus
09.01.26	Gap - Rouen	1:7 ✺
French Hockey Cup
07.01.26	Rouen - Chamonix	4:3 penalties ✺
French Ligue Magnus
04.01.26	Rouen - Amiens	6:0 ✺
02.01.26	Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - Rouen	5:1 ✺
30.12.25	Rouen - Cergy-Pontoise	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Hockey Cup
07.01.26	Rouen - Chamonix	4:3 penalties
French Ligue Magnus
19.11.25	Rouen - Chamonix	6:4
30.09.25	Chamonix - Rouen	1:5
24.01.25	Rouen - Chamonix	1:0
19.01.25	Chamonix - Rouen	2:4
13.12.24	Chamonix - Rouen	5:8
19.11.24	Rouen - Chamonix	3:4 penalties

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