The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rouen 67.1%
Draw 17.4%
Cergy-Pontoise 15.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
70.2%
16.6%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.3%
15.9%
16.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rouen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Cergy-Pontoise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rouen than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cergy-Pontoise than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Rouen - Cergy Pontoise Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Mugnier L. (G)
60. Mallet R. (G)
73. Baptiste N.
8. Chausserie-Lapree A.
10. Colomban R.
54. Coffy V.
93. Cormier T.
77. Delatour C.
16. Goncalves-Nivelais N.
10. Gegeris E.
14. Hansson P.
97. Gibert G.
2. Holway P.
88. Girre L.
13. Lafrance S.
22. Karjalainen L.
27. Lamperier L.
55. Lindstrom K.
81. Lasch R.
17. Macklin L.
94. McClennon C.
23. Myllymaa K.
6. Nesa V.
15. Orgel R. (A)
44. Paquette J.
82. Pardo T.
11. Perret T.
6. Petit L.
18. Rech A.
29. Salve Y.
91. Ritz N.
9. Somoza E. (C)
5. Roy P.
91. Stromgren F.
23. Shalei N.
21. Suire T. (A)
21. Simonsen T.
64. Volcan N.
2. Wendling N.
Substitutes
30. Carruth M. (G)
1. Richard O. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
01:17, 1 - 0, Cormier T. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:29, 1 - 1, Pardo T. (G), Stromgren F. (A),
14:51, 2 - 1, Simonsen T. (G), Cormier T. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
18:25, 3 - 1, Lafrance S. (G), Perret T. (A),
18:57, 4 - 1, Rech A. (G), Baptiste N. (A), Shalei N. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rouen won 4.
In recent outings, Rouen has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Cergy-Pontoise is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Cergy-Pontoise may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Rouen holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Rouen has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 91:47 (averaging 4.6:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rouen against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 52:25 goals (averaging 5.2:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Rouen
15
9
2
1
3
47:26
32
9
Cergy-Pontoise
14
5
2
1
6
42:42
20
Last Results with these Odds
Rouen - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 70.15%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Mugnier L. (G) 
Baptiste N. 
Gegeris E. 
Hansson P. 
Holway P. 
Karjalainen L. 
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