The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Charlottetown Islanders 52.7%
Draw 21.2%
Baie-Comeau Drakkar 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.3%
21.8%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
23%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlottetown Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Baie-Comeau Drakkar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlottetown Islanders than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlottetown Islanders that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baie-Comeau Drakkar than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baie-Comeau Drakkar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hickey D. (G)
35. Hernandez M. (G)
11. Beaulieu A.
3. Allison D. (A)
13. Butler M. (A)
19. Armit L.
15. Campbell R.
43. Benoit R.
10. Conrad O. (A)
17. Brunet S. (A)
88. Duskocy N.
20. Cadorin J.
14. Flanagan A.
24. Cavallin A.
92. Herron J.
27. Daniele B.
7. Kearsey M. (C)
25. De Luca J.
24. Leek N. (A)
15. Durco J. J.
76. Lemieux-Goupil E.
13. Gilbert M.
61. MacKinnon D.
9. Gosselin L.
2. Peddle B.
6. Hachey Z.
91. Peddle T.
11. Kirkwood A.
17. Provencher A.
49. Litterick K.
18. Ryabkin I.
34. Pearson S. (C)
19. Staples R.
22. Powers K. (A)
16. Voiaga N.
2. Roberts J.
12. Watroba C.
57. Vlk F.
Substitutes
27. Carter J. (G)
33. Cormier S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
06:39, 1 - 0, Campbell R. (G), Kearsey M. (A), Beaulieu A. (A2)
10:55, 2 - 0, Conrad O. (G), Butler M. (A), MacKinnon D. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:40, 3 - 0, Flanagan A. (G), Peddle B. (A), Hickey D. (A2)
04:00, 4 - 0, Flanagan A. (G), Herron J. (A), Leek N. (A2)
13:36, 4 - 1, De Luca J. (G), Powers K. (A), Gilbert M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
17:23, 4 - 2, Cavallin A. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlottetown won 1.
Charlottetown has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Baie-Comeau has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Charlottetown is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
We predict that Charlottetown will win today's game, with odds of 1.88.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charlottetown won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 59:76. (average 3:3.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Charlottetown won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:32. (average 3.3:3.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Baie-Comeau Drakkar - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 29.93%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.