Match Info

QMJHL

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Eastlink Centre (Charlottetown, PE)


	Charlottetown Islanders		Saint John Sea Dogs

	1	X	2
	1.44	6.25	4.6
	1.4	5.95	4.84	Watch
	1.4	5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.58)	5.73 ↑ (4.94)	4.98 ↑ (3.94)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlottetown Islanders
65.3%

Draw
16.1%

Saint John Sea Dogs
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

18.6%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

19.2%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlottetown Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charlottetown Islanders's performance.

Saint John Sea Dogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlottetown Islanders than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlottetown Islanders that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint John Sea Dogs than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saint John Sea Dogs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hickey D. (G)	30. MacPherson J. (G)
13. Butler M. (A)	2. Baldwin E.
10. Conrad O. (A)	5. Chartrand C.
88. Duskocy N.	91. Cote M. (A)
14. Flanagan A.	18. Croteau V.
92. Herron J.	26. Damphousse B.
7. Kearsey M. (C)	9. Donovan A.
24. Leek N. (A)	13. Drabczynski O.
76. Lemieux-Goupil E.	81. Fullerton A. (A)
61. MacKinnon D.	28. Gauthier A.
2. Peddle B.	86. Groulx O. (C)
91. Peddle T.	54. Heroux N.
17. Provencher A.	19. Joseph A.
18. Ryabkin I.	21. Krayer M.
72. Shields W.	44. Magnusson C.
19. Staples R.	10. Morin Z.
16. Voiaga N.	8. Rozzi D.
34. Walsh R.	23. Seymour J.
12. Watroba C.	3. Wasmer J.
Substitutes
27. Carter J. (G)	37. Courchesne R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
08:44, 1 - 0, Shields W. (G),
15:32, 2 - 0, Conrad O. (G), Leek N. (A), Ryabkin I. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:43, 3 - 0, Shields W. (G), Leek N. (A), Kearsey M. (A2)
19:41, 4 - 0, Shields W. (G), Leek N. (A), Hickey D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
05:02, 4 - 1, Fullerton A. (G), Chartrand C. (A), Rozzi D. (A2)
06:44, 5 - 1, Shields W. (G), Ryabkin I. (A), MacKinnon D. (A2)

Preview

Charlottetown is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Saint John is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlottetown won 3.

Charlottetown is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Saint John is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Saint John may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Charlottetown has had a series of away games.

Recently, Saint John has had a series of home games.

In this match, Charlottetown is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Charlottetown will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charlottetown won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 78:66. (average 3.9:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlottetown won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:33. (average 3.8:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlottetown Islanders
QMJHL
13.03.26	Charlottetown Islanders - Cape Breton Screaming Eagles	2:1 OT ✺
08.03.26	Quebec Remparts - Charlottetown Islanders	2:3 OT ✺
07.03.26	Chicoutimi Sagueneens - Charlottetown Islanders	14:2 ✺
06.03.26	Baie-Comeau Drakkar - Charlottetown Islanders	3:5 ✺
04.03.26	Rimouski Oceanic - Charlottetown Islanders	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW
- Saint John Sea Dogs
QMJHL
14.03.26	Saint John Sea Dogs - Halifax Mooseheads	2:4 ✺
13.03.26	Saint John Sea Dogs - Halifax Mooseheads	4:5 ✺
08.03.26	Moncton Wildcats - Saint John Sea Dogs	6:3 ✺
04.03.26	Saint John Sea Dogs - Blainville-Boisbriand Armada	5:3 ✺
28.02.26	Saint John Sea Dogs - Charlottetown Islanders	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

QMJHL
28.02.26	Saint John Sea Dogs - Charlottetown Islanders	4:5
31.01.26	Charlottetown Islanders - Saint John Sea Dogs	3:7
29.12.25	Charlottetown Islanders - Saint John Sea Dogs	4:3 OT
28.12.25	Saint John Sea Dogs - Charlottetown Islanders	6:3
28.11.25	Saint John Sea Dogs - Charlottetown Islanders	2:8
20.11.25	Saint John Sea Dogs - Charlottetown Islanders	6:3
10.10.25	Charlottetown Islanders - Saint John Sea Dogs	4:3 OT

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