Match Info

VHL

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Yunost arena (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelmet		Kristall Saratov

	1	X	2
	1.61	4.7	4.55
	1.62	4.65	4.24	Watch
	1.47	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.49)	4.52 ↓ (4.8)	4.43 ↓ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
58.8%

Draw
20.4%

Kristall Saratov
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

19.5%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

14.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Kristall Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelmet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristall Saratov than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Chelmet - Kristall Saratov Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Kristall Saratov (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kristall Saratov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
93. Mosharov D. (G)	1. Grischenko A. (G)
22. Filatov A.	24. Koryagin V.
43. Rodionov M.	83. Boldyrev D.
36. Shubin D.	90. Basin D.
16. Shen A.	71. Polshakov Z.
98. Kolodiy L.	69. Filin F.
Line 2
18. Mikanovich D.	8. Egorov E.
48. Pronichkin A.	32. Semeneko M.
97. Matyushin A.	89. Larichev I.
37. Mits Z.	29. Krasnov I.
10. Nizameyev A.	21. Chervontsev N.
Line 3
66. Drugalya S.	19. Gusev A.
77. Tertyshny A.	92. Vyalov F.
14. Zinovyev I.	9. Balabolkin I.
95. Aglamzyanov R.	7. Samoilov Y.
29. Mokin M.	78. Chufarov A.
Line 4
25. Fakhrutdinov R.	17. Sidorov Y.
90. Klimontov K.	5. Velmatov A.
17. Yekimov N.	61. Kulagin A.
46. Shaveko V.	25. Shcherbatov A.
67. Shchekoldin K.	51. Asylayev N.
Substitutes
30. Utenkov D. (G)	30. Yeryomenko M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
04:13, 0 - 1, Asylayev N. (G),
06:56, 1 - 1, Mikanovich D. (G),
08:16, 2 - 1, Nizameyev A. (Penalty Shot),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
09', 3 - 1, Mokin M. (G), Aglamzyanov R. (A), Tertyshny A. (A2)
12:41, 3 - 2, Chufarov A. (G), Semeneko M. (A), Boldyrev D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:42, 4 - 2, Mokin M. (G), Mits Z. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 5.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Kristall Saratov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kristall Saratov has had a series of home games.

In this match, Chelmet is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 48:27. (average 4:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmet won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:12. (average 5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
11	Kristall Saratov	11	5	2	1	3	30:34	15
25	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	10	2	1	2	5	20:36	8

Last Results with these Odds

Kristall Saratov - the odds 5.35 are the expected chance of winning is 17.53%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
02.03.26	Chelmet - Dizel Penza	6:4 ✺
28.02.26	Chelmet - Ryazan	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Chelmet - AKM	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Chelny - Chelmet	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Chelmet	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL
- Kristall Saratov
VHL
02.03.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Kristall Saratov	6:2 ✺
26.02.26	Kristall Saratov - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:0 ✺
24.02.26	Kristall Saratov - Molot Perm	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Kristall Saratov - Toros Neftekamsk	6:2 ✺
20.02.26	Kristall Saratov - Izhstal	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
22.09.25	Kristall Saratov - Chelmet	2:5
21.02.25	Kristall Saratov - Chelmet	0:5
30.09.24	Chelmet - Kristall Saratov	5:2
04.12.23	Chelmet - Kristall Saratov	6:3
31.10.23	Kristall Saratov - Chelmet	3:4 OT
28.09.16	Chelmet - Kristall Saratov	7:4
19.01.16	Kristall Saratov - Chelmet	2:0

Chelmet - Kristall Saratov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide