Match Info

VHL

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yubileiny (Almetyevsk) 🌤️ ...


	Neftyanik Almetyevsk		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	1.59	4.63	4.34
	1.58	4.65	4.58	Watch
	1.52	4.3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.78)	4.53 ↑ (4.13)	4.47 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
59%

Draw
20.4%

Chelmet
20.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.7%

22.3%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

22.1%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neftyanik Almetyevsk's performance.

Chelmet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelmet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neftyanik Almetyevsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelmet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Chelmet Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Neftyanik Almetyevsk will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Chelmet will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftyanik Almetyevsk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Chelmet (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftyanik Almetyevsk (votes: 1 - 50%). Chelmet (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Nazarov Y. (G)	93. Mosharov D. (G)
4. Chetverikov D.	43. Rodionov M.
49. Khamidullin D. (C)	48. Pronichkin A.
10. Brovkin A.	29. Mokin M. (A)
63. Platonov Y.	95. Aglamzyanov R.
9. Bykov M.	14. Zinovyev I. (C)
Line 2
90. Sumin A. (A)	18. Mikanovich D.
97. Myasishchev I.	22. Filatov A.
59. Terekhov S.	46. Shaveko V. (A)
19. Khlopotov V.	37. Mits Z.
77. Marushev M.	10. Nizameyev A.
Line 3
75. Ionov S.	66. Drugalya S.
8. Mulyukov I.	77. Tertyshny A.
32. Yakupov R.	97. Matyushin A.
17. Kulikov P.	57. Telegin N.
71. Shakirov R.	98. Kolodiy L.
Line 4
85. Kurbanov A.	73. Fedoseyev Y.
13. Zamaltdinov R.	25. Fakhrutdinov R.
18. Korotkov B.	67. Shchekoldin K.
24. Faizullin D. (A)	17. Yekimov N.
Substitutes
37. Nosov G. (G)	40. Sherstnev S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
08:35, 1 - 0, Shakirov R. (G), Yakupov R. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
02:37, 1 - 1, Aglamzyanov R. (G), Yekimov N. (A), Kolodiy L. (A2)
07:21, 2 - 1, Yakupov R. (G), Kulikov P. (A),
17:18, 2 - 2, Filatov A. (G),
Overtime (1 - 0)
03:43, 3 - 2, Shakirov R. (G), Terekhov S. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 2.

Recent performances by Neftyanik Almetyevsk have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chelmet is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chelmet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Neftyanik Almetyevsk has had a series of away games.

In this match, Neftyanik Almetyevsk is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 56:49. (average 2.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:20. (average 3.9:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Almetyevsk	17	7	6	0	4	49:33	26
30	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	14	2	1	2	9	24:55	8

Last Results with these Odds

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 51.66%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
17.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 ✺
13.02.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4 ✺
11.02.26	Molot Perm - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:8 ✺
09.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:2 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Izhstal - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLW
- HC Chelmet
VHL
17.02.26	CSK VVS Samara - Chelmet	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Bars Kazan - Chelmet	1:3 ✺
09.02.26	Chelmet - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Chelmet - SKA-VMF	3:2 ✺
03.02.26	Norilsk - Chelmet	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
03.10.25	Chelmet - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:3
11.12.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Chelmet	4:3 OT
01.12.24	Chelmet - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:1
22.11.23	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Chelmet	7:1
12.11.23	Chelmet - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	4:1
11.02.23	Chelmet - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:2 penalties
10.09.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Chelmet	4:1

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