Match Info

VHL

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday

Location: Yunost arena (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelmet		Dizel Penza

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.77	2.77
	2.24	3.88	2.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.24)	3.83 ↓ (3.84)	2.77 (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
41.7%

Draw
24.5%

Dizel Penza
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

24.4%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

25.6%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Dizel Penza have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Chelmet - Dizel Penza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Chelmet (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelmet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Utenkov D. (G)	31. Kudashev D. (G)
22. Filatov A.	6. Lukichyov A.
43. Rodionov M.	75. Pogorishny O. (A)
71. Kisakov A.	91. Andriyanov A.
95. Aglamzyanov R. (A)	69. Boluchevsky A.
10. Nizameyev A.	10. Popov D.
Line 2
18. Mikanovich D.	7. Spitsenko K.
48. Pronichkin A.	68. Rudakov G.
14. Zinovyev I. (C)	23. Sidlyarov D. (C)
37. Mits Z.	47. Bobylyov V.
29. Mokin M. (A)	34. Larichev V.
Line 3
66. Drugalya S.	77. Bannikov A.
77. Tertyshny A.	83. Sukhov S.
97. Matyushin A.	41. Lukin V.
83. Gorbunov S.	11. Makhanovsky P. (A)
12. Rykov A.	97. Borisenkov A.
Line 4
73. Fedoseyev Y.	54. Filippov T.
36. Shubin D.	16. Polshkov A.
16. Shen A.	72. Shvangiradze D.
98. Kolodiy L.	96. Baranov Y.
Substitutes
25. Fakhrutdinov R.	27. Arzamastsev A. (G)
40. Sherstnev S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
06:02, 0 - 1, Larichev V. (G),
09:30, 0 - 2, Borisenkov A. (G), Andriyanov A. (A), Boluchevsky A. (A2)
10:26, 1 - 2, Rykov A. (G), Drugalya S. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:15, 2 - 2, Shubin D. (G), Shen A. (A), Rodionov M. (A2)
07:21, 2 - 3, Bobylyov V. (G), Borisenkov A. (A), Sidlyarov D. (A2)
12:16, 3 - 3, Kolodiy L. (G), Shen A. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
04:11, 4 - 3, Nizameyev A. (G), Filatov A. (A),
11:41, 5 - 3, Zinovyev I. (G), Mits Z. (A), Mokin M. (A2)
14:54, 5 - 4, Baranov Y. (G), Bobylyov V. (A),
18:59, 6 - 4, Nizameyev A. (G), Aglamzyanov R. (A), Kisakov A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Dizel has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 56:53. (average 2.8:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmet won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 3.2:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
16	Dizel	11	3	2	2	4	24:24	12
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	10	2	1	2	5	20:36	8

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmet - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.79%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Dizel Penza - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.8%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
28.02.26	Chelmet - Ryazan	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Chelmet - AKM	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Chelny - Chelmet	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Chelmet	3:2 OT ✺
17.02.26	CSK VVS Samara - Chelmet	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLL
- Dizel Penza
VHL
28.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza	2:3 ✺
24.02.26	Dizel Penza - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Dizel Penza - Molot Perm	1:4 ✺
20.02.26	Dizel Penza - Toros Neftekamsk	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Dizel Penza - Izhstal	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
20.09.25	Dizel Penza - Chelmet	6:1
19.02.25	Dizel Penza - Chelmet	2:3
04.10.24	Chelmet - Dizel Penza	4:2
26.11.23	Dizel Penza - Chelmet	1:4
16.11.23	Chelmet - Dizel Penza	3:2
02.12.22	Dizel Penza - Chelmet	1:0
15.11.22	Chelmet - Dizel Penza	1:2 OT

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