Match Info

VHL

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday

Location: Ledovaya Arena A. Kozitsyna (Verkhnyaya Pyshma)


	Gornyak-UGMK		Kristall Saratov

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.86	5.01
	1.49	4.85	5.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.51)	4.86 ↑ (4.72)	5.14 ↓ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gornyak-UGMK
62.5%

Draw
19.3%

Kristall Saratov
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

19.9%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

19.8%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Kristall Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristall Saratov than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Gornyak UGMK - Kristall Saratov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Novosyolov N. (G)	30. Yeryomenko M. (G)
83. Karpovich D.	8. Egorov E.
50. Shchemerov A.	32. Semeneko M.
7. Gordin A.	90. Basin D.
13. Zaytsev O. (C)	71. Polshakov Z.
80. Demidovich V.	69. Filin F.
Line 2
85. Zhuravlyov Y. (A)	19. Gusev A.
72. Trofimov Y.	92. Vyalov F.
96. Miller N.	89. Larichev I.
14. Makhrin M. (A)	29. Krasnov I.
44. Lukhovskoy N.	21. Chervontsev N.
Line 3
90. Nekrasov N.	5. Velmatov A.
62. Shchuchinov A.	24. Koryagin V.
32. Borisov S.	9. Balabolkin I.
29. Khremkin K.	79. Samsonov D.
87. Loza I.	91. Podorozhnikov A.
Line 4
95. Dumchenko N.	17. Sidorov Y.
36. Egorov E.	61. Kulagin A.
18. Sushchev V.	7. Samoilov Y.
59. Razdyakonov V.	51. Asylayev N.
Substitutes
93. Romashkin P. (G)	1. Grischenko A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
04:16, 1 - 0, Khremkin K. (G), Nekrasov N. (A), Zhuravlyov Y. (A2)
17:47, 2 - 0, Razdyakonov V. (G), Dumchenko N. (A), Shchemerov A. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
00:19, 3 - 0, Demidovich V. (G), Shchemerov A. (A),
03:45, 4 - 0, Lukhovskoy N. (G), Trofimov Y. (A), Makhrin M. (A2)
04:13, 4 - 1, Filin F. (G),
06:52, 5 - 1, Miller N. (G), Makhrin M. (A), Trofimov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:03, 6 - 1, Miller N. (G), Lukhovskoy N. (A), Makhrin M. (A2)
14:06, 6 - 2, Larichev I. (G), Krasnov I. (A), Chervontsev N. (A2)

Preview

Gornyak-UGMK is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kristall Saratov has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kristall Saratov has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 4.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
11	Kristall Saratov	11	5	2	1	3	30:34	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
28.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Dizel Penza	2:3 ✺
26.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Ryazan	2:1 penalties ✺
24.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - AKM	4:2 ✺
19.02.26	Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 ✺
17.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWWW
- Kristall Saratov
VHL
26.02.26	Kristall Saratov - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:0 ✺
24.02.26	Kristall Saratov - Molot Perm	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Kristall Saratov - Toros Neftekamsk	6:2 ✺
20.02.26	Kristall Saratov - Izhstal	3:2 ✺
12.02.26	Ryazan - Kristall Saratov	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
24.09.25	Kristall Saratov - Gornyak-UGMK	2:6
19.02.25	Kristall Saratov - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 OT
02.10.24	Gornyak-UGMK - Kristall Saratov	4:2
08.12.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Kristall Saratov	6:2
06.11.23	Kristall Saratov - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 penalties

Gornyak-UGMK - Kristall Saratov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide