Match Info

VHL

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Yunost arena (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelmet		Ryazan

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.79	2.69
	2.27	3.94	2.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.3)	3.87 ↑ (3.86)	2.67 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
40.9%

Draw
24.2%

Ryazan
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

24.2%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ryazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Chelmet - Ryazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Sherstnev S. (G)	30. Korzin Y. (G)
22. Filatov A.	35. Alyayev A.
18. Mikanovich D.	51. Kramarenko Y.
71. Kisakov A.	11. Rakhimullin D.
83. Gorbunov S.	38. Shipov I.
29. Mokin M. (A)	13. Korostelyov M.
Line 2
66. Drugalya S.	88. Faizullin A.
43. Rodionov M.	17. Trishin A.
14. Zinovyev I. (C)	73. Leshchenko V.
37. Mits Z.	87. Mingaleyev D.
10. Nizameyev A.	27. Kazakov M.
Line 3
48. Pronichkin A.	5. Dedov G.
73. Fedoseyev Y.	4. Shalapov Y.
97. Matyushin A.	22. Lapin A.
95. Aglamzyanov R.	25. Meshcheryakov M.
36. Shubin D.	7. Gimatov E.
Line 4
67. Shchekoldin K.	9. Sidnev K.
90. Klimontov K. (A)	31. Goncharov N.
17. Yekimov N.	24. Akhunov T.
16. Shen A.	43. Yakovlev D.
98. Kolodiy L.
Substitutes
30. Utenkov D. (G)	80. Smirnov L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:45, 0 - 1, Meshcheryakov M. (G), Lapin A. (A), Dedov G. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
13:22, 0 - 2, Mingaleyev D. (G), Leshchenko V. (A), Kazakov M. (A2)
16:34, 1 - 2, Filatov A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Chelmet has had a series of away games.

Recently, Ryazan has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 45:35. (average 2.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmet won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 2.3:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
24	Ryazan	12	1	2	3	6	16:26	9
26	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	10	2	1	2	5	20:36	8

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmet - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.6%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Ryazan - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.17%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
26.02.26	Chelmet - AKM	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Chelny - Chelmet	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Chelmet	3:2 OT ✺
17.02.26	CSK VVS Samara - Chelmet	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Bars Kazan - Chelmet	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW
- HC Ryazan
VHL
26.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Ryazan	2:1 penalties ✺
22.02.26	Ryazan - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Ryazan - Molot Perm	3:0 ✺
18.02.26	Ryazan - Toros Neftekamsk	4:1 ✺
16.02.26	Ryazan - Izhstal	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
18.09.25	Ryazan - Chelmet	3:1
09.01.25	Ryazan - Chelmet	1:3
06.11.24	Chelmet - Ryazan	0:1
16.01.24	Chelmet - Ryazan	1:0 penalties
05.10.23	Ryazan - Chelmet	1:4
04.12.22	Ryazan - Chelmet	3:2 penalties
10.11.22	Chelmet - Ryazan	2:3 penalties

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