Match Info

VHL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yunost arena (Chelyabinsk) 🌤️ ...


	Chelmet		Omskie Krylia

	1	X	2
	2.66	3.7	2.45
	2.61	3.94	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (3.02)	3.82 ↓ (3.94)	2.38 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
35.7%

Draw
24.6%

Omskie Krylia
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31%

23.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

25.4%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Omskie Krylia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Omskie Krylia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omskie Krylia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Chelmet - Omskie Krylia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Utenkov D. (G)	94. Yaroslavlev Y. (G)
77. Tertyshny A.	57. Pavlikov M.
66. Drugalya S.	75. Yegorov A.
71. Kisakov A.	93. Malov V.
37. Mits Z.	91. Protapovich A.
14. Zinovyev I. (C)	66. Andreyev S.
Line 2
67. Shchekoldin K.	22. Moiseyev M.
18. Mikanovich D.	42. Petrishchev R. (A)
29. Mokin M. (A)	11. Anokhovsky N.
95. Aglamzyanov R.	47. Loktev A. (C)
10. Nizameyev A.	88. Stepanov Y.
Line 3
73. Fedoseyev Y.	52. Chmykhov A. (A)
22. Filatov A.	5. Chaika D.
33. Rykmanov A.	86. Kozhukhov Y.
83. Gorbunov S.	78. Leuka P.
12. Rykov A.	28. Bain M.
Line 4
97. Matyushin A.	59. Naumenko A.
16. Shen A.	44. Kozhevnikov K.
46. Shaveko V. (A)	25. Zlodeyev D.
	8. Nikolenko L.
Substitutes
98. Kolodiy L.	71. Golodnyuk E.
93. Mosharov D. (G)	79. Kiselyov Y. (G)
17. Yekimov N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
00:34, 1 - 0, Kisakov A. (G), Mits Z. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:29, 1 - 1, Anokhovsky N. (G), Pavlikov M. (A),
13:25, 2 - 1, Mokin M. (G), Nizameyev A. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 3)
01:23, 2 - 2, Protapovich A. (G), Anokhovsky N. (A), Stepanov Y. (A2)
02:17, 2 - 3, Pavlikov M. (G), Loktev A. (A),
05:34, 2 - 4, Stepanov Y. (G), Chmykhov A. (A), Loktev A. (A2)
10:00, 3 - 4, Rykov A. (G), Mits Z. (A), Tertyshny A. (A2)
19:20, 4 - 4, Zinovyev I. (G), Nizameyev A. (A), Aglamzyanov R. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
25:55, 4 - 5, Protapovich A. (G), Andreyev S. (A), Malov V. (A2)

Preview

Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Omskie Krylia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 43:45. (average 3.1:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmet won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:15. (average 3.6:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Omskie Krylia	17	12	2	0	3	48:23	28
30	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	14	2	1	2	9	24:55	8

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmet - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 31.04%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Omskie Krylia - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.21%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
29.03.26	Omskie Krylia - Chelmet	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Omskie Krylia - Chelmet	7:2 ✺
24.03.26	Chelmet - Omskie Krylia	4:3 ✺
22.03.26	Chelmet - Omskie Krylia	4:1 ✺
18.03.26	Molot Perm - Chelmet	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWL
- Omskie Krylia
VHL
29.03.26	Omskie Krylia - Chelmet	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Omskie Krylia - Chelmet	7:2 ✺
24.03.26	Chelmet - Omskie Krylia	4:3 ✺
22.03.26	Chelmet - Omskie Krylia	4:1 ✺
18.03.26	Chelny - Omskie Krylia	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
29.03.26	Omskie Krylia - Chelmet	2:1
27.03.26	Omskie Krylia - Chelmet	7:2
24.03.26	Chelmet - Omskie Krylia	4:3
22.03.26	Chelmet - Omskie Krylia	4:1
14.01.26	Omskie Krylia - Chelmet	4:5 penalties
11.11.25	Chelmet - Omskie Krylia	6:0
01.02.25	Omskie Krylia - Chelmet	5:1

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