Match Info

VHL

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Molot Sports Hall (Perm) 🌤️ ...


	Molot Perm		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.9	2.6
	2.35	3.92	2.56	Watch
	2.22	3.66	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.46)	3.83 ↓ (3.86)	2.52 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molot Perm
39.6%

Draw
24%

Chelmet
36.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

24.2%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

26.2%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molot Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Chelmet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Molot Perm - Chelmet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Gorshkov Y. (G)	93. Mosharov D. (G)
12. Glukhov N. (C)	43. Rodionov M.
55. Kozhevnikov A.	22. Filatov A.
51. Kitsyn M. (A)	29. Mokin M. (A)
10. Plastinin V. (A)	95. Aglamzyanov R.
81. Galimzyanov R.	14. Zinovyev I. (C)
Line 2
39. Zimin N.	77. Tertyshny A.
89. Malyavin A.	66. Drugalya S.
11. Lapin D.	46. Shaveko V.
71. Kolesnikov Y.	37. Mits Z.
34. Mikhasyonok V.	97. Matyushin A.
Line 3
44. Yerokhin A.	18. Mikanovich D.
42. Labutkin Y.	48. Pronichkin A.
76. Migur A.	34. Gusmanov F.
97. Krikunenko R.	67. Shchekoldin K.
18. Shcherbakov P.	36. Shubin D.
Line 4
59. Sokolov N.
92. Kazakov M.
17. Yarashev A.
13. Yabelov D.
Substitutes
74. Meshkovsky G. (G)	90. Klimontov K. (A)
	16. Shen A.
	30. Utenkov D. (G)
	17. Yekimov N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
02:06, 1 - 0, Yabelov D. (G), Yarashev A. (A), Sokolov N. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:20, 1 - 1, Drugalya S. (G), Shchekoldin K. (A), Mikanovich D. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
06', 2 - 1, Kazakov M. (G), Glukhov N. (A), Labutkin Y. (A2)
10:00, 3 - 1, Shcherbakov P. (G), Migur A. (A), Krikunenko R. (A2)
16:05, 4 - 1, Lapin D. (G), Mikhasyonok V. (A),

Preview

Molot is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Chelmet is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molot won 3.

Molot has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chelmet is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Molot has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Molot won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 55:46. (average 2.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Molot won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 3.4:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Perm	16	9	2	0	5	45:27	22
30	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	14	2	1	2	9	24:55	8

Last Results with these Odds

Molot Perm - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.92%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.

Chelmet - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.92%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Molot Perm
VHL
16.03.26	Molot Perm - Gornyak-UGMK	4:3 penalties ✺
14.03.26	Molot Perm - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:3 penalties ✺
12.03.26	Molot Perm - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Molot Perm	2:1 penalties ✺
03.03.26	Molot Perm - Toros Neftekamsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLL
- HC Chelmet
VHL
16.03.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Chelmet	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Izhstal - Chelmet	3:4 ✺
12.03.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Chelmet	3:4 ✺
04.03.26	Chelmet - Kristall Saratov	4:2 ✺
02.03.26	Chelmet - Dizel Penza	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
08.09.25	Chelmet - Molot Perm	1:3
04.04.25	Molot Perm - Chelmet	1:5
02.04.25	Chelmet - Molot Perm	2:0
30.03.25	Molot Perm - Chelmet	5:1
28.03.25	Molot Perm - Chelmet	3:2
25.03.25	Chelmet - Molot Perm	7:3
23.03.25	Chelmet - Molot Perm	2:1 OT

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