Match Info

VHL

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Ledovaya Arena A. Kozitsyna (Verkhnyaya Pyshma)


	Gornyak-UGMK		Ryazan

	1	X	2
	2.56	3.56	2.5
	2.51	3.78	2.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.51)	3.67 ↓ (3.8)	2.48 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gornyak-UGMK
36.8%

Draw
25.4%

Ryazan
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

24.6%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

25.4%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ryazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryazan than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Gornyak UGMK - Ryazan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Gornyak-UGMK (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gornyak-UGMK (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Novosyolov N. (G)	30. Korzin Y. (G)
91. Malorosiyanov D.	35. Alyayev A.
50. Shchemerov A.	51. Kramarenko Y.
79. Tarasov M.	11. Rakhimullin D.
29. Khremkin K.	44. Omelyusik D.
32. Borisov S.	33. Kabanov M.
Line 2
85. Zhuravlyov Y.	88. Faizullin A.
72. Trofimov Y.	17. Trishin A.
96. Miller N.	23. Alexeyev Y.
14. Makhrin M. (A)	87. Mingaleyev D.
44. Lukhovskoy N.	27. Kazakov M.
Line 3
90. Nekrasov N.	90. Salov Y.
4. Bolshakov M.	4. Shalapov Y.
7. Gordin A.	13. Korostelyov M.
13. Zaytsev O. (C)	25. Meshcheryakov M.
80. Demidovich V.	7. Gimatov E.
Line 4
83. Karpovich D.	9. Sidnev K.
62. Shchuchinov A.	73. Leshchenko V.
56. Ovchinnikov I. (A)	24. Akhunov T.
18. Guskov I.	43. Yakovlev D.
76. Kashtanov A.
Substitutes
93. Romashkin P. (G)	80. Smirnov L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:04, 1 - 0, Ovchinnikov I. (G),
14:45, 1 - 1, Yakovlev D. (G), Akhunov T. (A), Leshchenko V. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Borisov S. (Penalty Shot),
1, Yakovlev D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Miller N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kabanov M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Lukhovskoy N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Korostelyov M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Gordin A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Leshchenko V. (Penalty Shot),
5, Makhrin M. (Penalty Shot),
5, Gimatov E. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 2.

In recent matches, Gornyak-UGMK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ryazan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gornyak-UGMK has had a series of away games.

Recently, Ryazan has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 44:43. (average 2.6:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 2.8:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
23	Ryazan	13	1	2	4	6	18:29	10

Last Results with these Odds

Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.2%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Ryazan - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.19%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
24.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - AKM	4:2 ✺
19.02.26	Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 ✺
17.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	CSK VVS Samara - Gornyak-UGMK	5:0 ✺
13.02.26	Bars Kazan - Gornyak-UGMK	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLL
- HC Ryazan
VHL
22.02.26	Ryazan - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Ryazan - Molot Perm	3:0 ✺
18.02.26	Ryazan - Toros Neftekamsk	4:1 ✺
16.02.26	Ryazan - Izhstal	1:4 ✺
12.02.26	Ryazan - Kristall Saratov	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
20.09.25	Ryazan - Gornyak-UGMK	5:2
07.01.25	Ryazan - Gornyak-UGMK	3:5
12.11.24	Gornyak-UGMK - Ryazan	1:2 penalties
12.01.24	Gornyak-UGMK - Ryazan	2:1
07.10.23	Ryazan - Gornyak-UGMK	3:1
30.11.22	Ryazan - Gornyak-UGMK	1:2 penalties
14.11.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Ryazan	2:3 penalties

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