Match Info

VHL

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Vysotsky Sports Palace (Samara)


	CSK VVS Samara		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	2.09	3.86	2.99
	2.09	4.1	2.91	Watch
	2.15	3.85	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.35)	3.94 ↑ (3.68)	2.83 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSK VVS Samara
43.8%

Draw
23.5%

Chelmet
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

24.9%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

27.4%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSK VVS Samara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Chelmet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSK VVS Samara than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CSK VVS Samara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelmet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CSK VVS Samara - Chelmet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
71. Popov D. (G)	40. Sherstnev S. (G)
8. Gorbunov K.	22. Filatov A.
61. Vafin K.	18. Mikanovich D.
13. Demchenko V.	17. Yekimov N.
19. Galimov A.	67. Shchekoldin K.
94. Anop D. (A)	10. Nizameyev A.
Line 2
18. Safonov I. (A)	90. Klimontov K. (A)
17. Kalabushkin E.	48. Pronichkin A.
68. Gogolev P.	36. Shubin D.
32. Barabanov V.	95. Aglamzyanov R.
25. Petrov G.	98. Kolodiy L.
Line 3
96. Ganabin Y.	66. Drugalya S.
47. Morozov Y.	73. Fedoseyev Y.
63. Groshev Y. (C)	97. Matyushin A.
11. Mustafin R.	57. Telegin N.
75. Dyadenkin D.	14. Zinovyev I. (C)
Line 4
98. Shumilov V.	77. Tertyshny A.
22. Kuznetsov A.	29. Mokin M. (A)
81. Litvinov I.	37. Mits Z.
87. Borodin D.	46. Shaveko V.
Substitutes
90. Ovcharik D. (G)	25. Fakhrutdinov R.
	93. Mosharov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
15:23, 1 - 0, Dyadenkin D. (G), Anop D. (A), Demchenko V. (A2)
16:23, 1 - 1, Drugalya S. (G), Aglamzyanov R. (A),
19:22, 2 - 1, Barabanov V. (G),
19:53, 2 - 2, Drugalya S. (G), Aglamzyanov R. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:45, 3 - 2, Ganabin Y. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSK VVS won 1.

CSK VVS has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chelmet is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

CSK VVS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, CSK VVS has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, CSK VVS won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:42. (average 1.6:3).

Including home matches between the teams, CSK VVS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.6:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
25	CSK VVS	16	3	1	1	11	31:56	9
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	11	2	1	2	6	20:44	8

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmet - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.21%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSK VVS Samara
VHL
15.02.26	CSK VVS Samara - Gornyak-UGMK	5:0 ✺
11.02.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - CSK VVS Samara	1:5 ✺
09.02.26	Molot Perm - CSK VVS Samara	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - CSK VVS Samara	2:4 ✺
05.02.26	Izhstal - CSK VVS Samara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWL
- HC Chelmet
VHL
15.02.26	Bars Kazan - Chelmet	1:3 ✺
09.02.26	Chelmet - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Chelmet - SKA-VMF	3:2 ✺
03.02.26	Norilsk - Chelmet	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Chelmet	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
27.09.25	Chelmet - CSK VVS Samara	6:3
17.02.25	CSK VVS Samara - Chelmet	0:2
02.10.24	Chelmet - CSK VVS Samara	1:2
28.11.23	CSK VVS Samara - Chelmet	0:2
14.11.23	Chelmet - CSK VVS Samara	5:3
03.02.22	Chelmet - CSK VVS Samara	6:2
19.09.21	CSK VVS Samara - Chelmet	0:3

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