Match Info

VHL

Date: 1 December 2025, Monday

Location: Yunost arena (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelmet		Yuzhny Ural Orsk

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.62	4.71
	1.49	4.75	5.4	Watch
	1.74	4	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.71)	4.46 ↑ (4.37)	4.79 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
59.5%

Draw
21%

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

21.4%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

20.4%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Chelmet - Yuzhny Ural Orsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Chelmet will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Yuzhny Ural will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yuzhny Ural (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Utenkov D. (G)	32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)
42. Yusupov V.	88. Krylov I. (A)
79. Savelyev A.	29. Papst R.
29. Mokin M.	91. Suslov K. (A)
83. Gorbunov S.	33. Ryzhkov M.
10. Nizameyev A.	41. Paramonov D.
Line 2
18. Mikanovich D.	55. Dolzhenko D.
48. Pronichkin A.	17. Kovalchuk P.
14. Zinovyev I. (C)	11. Mylnikov D.
57. Telegin N.	19. Litvinov I. (C)
97. Matyushin A.	16. Rubtsov S.
Line 3
66. Drugalya S. (A)	92. Gatiyatulin I.
22. Filatov A.	24. Salnikov E.
46. Shaveko V. (A)	98. Kuimov Y.
37. Mits Z.	15. Putilov A.
17. Yekimov N.	77. Zakharov I.
Line 4
90. Klimontov K.	28. Samokhvalov M.
98. Kolodiy L.	96. Kurkin M.
41. Eust V.	10. Shindyaev K.
64. Kulagin A.
Substitutes
25. Fakhrutdinov R.	60. Ovcharik D. (G)
70. Kiselev D. (G)	72. Rvachev V.
	8. Vikulin K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
01:07, 1 - 0, Matyushin A. (G),
06:41, 1 - 1, Mylnikov D. (G),
09:43, 1 - 2, Kuimov Y. (G), Dolzhenko D. (A), Zakharov I. (A2)
10:29, 2 - 2, Zinovyev I. (G), Telegin N. (A), Savelyev A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
04:11, 2 - 3, Mylnikov D. (G), Rubtsov S. (A),
08:15, 2 - 4, Suslov K. (G), Paramonov D. (A), Ryzhkov M. (A2)
18:44, 3 - 4, Zinovyev I. (G), Mikanovich D. (A), Fakhrutdinov R. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:25, 4 - 4, Nizameyev A. (G), Mikanovich D. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:40, 5 - 4, Pronichkin A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 2.

Chelmet has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Yuzhny Ural has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chelmet may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chelmet is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Chelmet will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelmet won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 45:53. (average 2.3:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmet won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 2.7:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - the odds 3.95 are the expected chance of winning is 23.71%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
29.11.25	Chelmet - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet	2:5 ✺
19.11.25	Khimik - Chelmet	2:3 ✺
17.11.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Chelmet	0:1 ✺
11.11.25	Chelmet - Omskie Krylia	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WWWWW
- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
27.11.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	2:5 ✺
16.11.25	Zvezda Moscow - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:2 ✺
14.11.25	Khimik - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:1 ✺
12.11.25	Torpedo-Gorky - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Omskie Krylia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
03.03.25	Chelmet - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:1
22.09.24	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	1:3
28.12.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	2:1
14.10.23	Chelmet - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:1
20.12.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	4:3 penalties
23.11.22	Chelmet - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
04.08.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	2:3

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