Match Info

VHL

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: CSKA Arena (Small arena) (Moscow)


	Zvezda Moscow		Chelmet

	1	X	2
	2.16	4.06	2.34
	2.11	3.95	2.25
	2.23	3.84	2.78	Watch
	2.23	4.00	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.4)	3.96 ↑ (3.92)	2.48 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda Moscow
41.1%

Draw
22.7%

Chelmet
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

23.8%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

26.2%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Chelmet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zvezda Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zvezda Moscow will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zvezda Moscow (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Tabatchikov V. (G)	30. Utenkov D. (G)
23. Grushnikov A.	81. Isakov Y.
7. Malyshev A. (A)	5. Borodkin A. (A)
42. Savvateyev V.	36. Kisakov A.
19. Prokhorov A.	73. Mits Z.
56. Vlasenko D. (A)	29. Mokin M. (C)
Line 2
63. Martynov Y.	28. Potapov F.
15. Alexandrov D. (C)	18. Mikanovich D.
87. Yapparov Y.	97. Matyushin A.
74. Frolov N.	46. Shaveko V. (A)
97. Churkin A.	37. Udot A.
Line 3
3. Sidorov M.	80. Semenikhin M.
73. Rusakov A.	21. Pronichkin A.
53. Matveiko Y.	50. Yekimov N.
75. Averochkin M.	57. Telegin N.
84. Lagoda G.	44. Kozhevnikov R.
Line 4
44. Stanislavskiy D.	86. Sivirchukov V.
37. Mikhailov N.	34. Gusmanov F.
98. Pankratov S.	90. Golovnyov Y.
14. Gusniyev A.	98. Kolodiy L.
Substitutes
40. Anokhin P.	41. Eust V.
81. Kloberdanets M. (G)	60. Sherstnev S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
19:39, 1 - 0, Savvateyev V. (G), Prokhorov A. (A), Averochkin M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
05:12, 1 - 1, Shaveko V. (G), Semenikhin M. (A), Kozhevnikov R. (A2)
12:08, 1 - 2, Kisakov A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 2.

In recent outings, Zvezda Moscow has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Chelmet is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Chelmet could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Chelmet has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Zvezda Moscow in today's match, at odds of 2.24.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zvezda Moscow has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:41 (averaging 2.9:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zvezda Moscow against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 27:21 goals (averaging 2.7:2.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
23	Zvezda Moscow	13	3	2	1	7	31:40	11
27	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	10	2	1	2	5	20:36	8

Last Results with these Odds

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.88%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Chelmet - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.32%, but this team recently wins 24% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
20.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	4:2 ✺
18.09.26	Zvezda Moscow - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2 penalties ✺
13.09.26	Molot Perm - Zvezda Moscow	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Zvezda Moscow	4:5 OT ✺
09.09.26	Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLWL
- HC Chelmet
VHL
20.09.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Chelmet	4:3 penalties ✺
18.09.26	SKA-VMF - Chelmet	3:2 ✺
10.09.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Chelmet	5:0 ✺
08.09.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Chelmet	5:0 ✺
06.09.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Chelmet	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
25.12.25	Chelmet - Zvezda Moscow	2:4
21.11.25	Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet	2:5
12.02.25	Chelmet - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 OT
09.10.24	Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet	4:5 OT
02.02.24	Chelmet - Zvezda Moscow	2:5
18.09.23	Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet	2:1
16.01.23	Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet	1:3

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