Match Info

VHL

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets Sporta (Naberezhnye Chelny)


	Chelny		Khimik

	1	X	2
	4.23	4.5	1.62
	4.62	4.85	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (4.17)	4.68 ↑ (4)	1.59 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Chelny
21.1%

Draw
20%

Khimik
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

23.4%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

23.4%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Chelny - Khimik Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Khimik (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Khimik (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Khimik (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
31. Noskov A. (G)	31. Volokhin Y. (G)
45. Alyayev A. (A)	3. Ivanov D.
33. Dergousov D.	4. Sokolov N. (C)
10. Ustimkin M.	10. Tkachenko P. (A)
70. Maltsev M.	8. Krovyakov M. (A)
96. Lomako O.	59. Kuzmin G.
Line 2
28. Taratunin T. (A)	43. Krasnichuk A.
62. Naumov G.	37. Naumov M.
15. Yakutov A.	83. Karpov Y.
68. Silayev I. (C)	47. Usmanov D.
11. Luchenkov S.	16. Pivchulin D.
Line 3
19. Zakharov N.	9. Frolov S.
72. Kolmagorov K.	26. Paramonov A.
71. Magerya M.	36. Lukin K.
13. Sapozhnikov V.	65. Mansurov D.
9. Nasyrov M.	41. Solovyov D.
Line 4
23. Zaripov A.	13. Gavrilov I.
88. Arefyev Y.	23. Ovchinnikov G.
25. Rakhcheev I.	44. Khrapov F.
	91. Zamula M.
Substitutes
80. Gorokhov N. (G)	1. Kanayev P. (G)
	51. Sysoev D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
11:20, 0 - 1, Sokolov N. (G), Mansurov D. (A),
14:39, 1 - 1, Kolmagorov K. (G), Luchenkov S. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 3)
02:07, 1 - 2, Lukin K. (G), Solovyov D. (A), Mansurov D. (A2)
03:45, 1 - 3, Naumov M. (G), Karpov Y. (A), Pivchulin D. (A2)
13:07, 1 - 4, Paramonov A. (G), Mansurov D. (A), Frolov S. (A2)
14:02, 2 - 4, Lomako O. (G), Alyayev A. (A), Maltsev M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
00:23, 2 - 5, Pivchulin D. (G), Tkachenko P. (A), Frolov S. (A2)
02:27, 2 - 6, Usmanov D. (G), Pivchulin D. (A), Ivanov D. (A2)
11', 3 - 6, Silayev I. (G), Yakutov A. (A), Alyayev A. (A2)
15:52, 3 - 7, Lukin K. (G), Solovyov D. (A), Paramonov A. (A2)

Preview

Chelny has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Khimik's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Chelny has had a series of away games.

In this match, Khimik is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.5:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelny won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Khimik - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.13%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelny
VHL
17.09.25	Chelny - Zvezda Moscow	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Chelny	5:0 ✺
10.09.25	Rubin Tyumen - Chelny	1:2 OT ✺
08.09.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Chelny	5:2 ✺
06.09.25	Omskie Krylia - Chelny	9:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LLWLL
- MHC Khimik
VHL
17.09.25	Bars Kazan - Khimik	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	CSK VVS Samara - Khimik	2:3 ✺
11.09.25	Khimik - Kristall Saratov	4:3 penalties ✺
09.09.25	Khimik - Dizel Penza	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Khimik - Ryazan	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
03.02.25	Khimik - Chelny	3:2 OT
20.10.24	Chelny - Khimik	2:3
25.11.23	Chelny - Khimik	1:4
17.11.23	Khimik - Chelny	2:1

Upcoming Matches