The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Norilsk 33.2%
Draw 24.7%
Khimik 42.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29%
24.6%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
25.2%
47.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Khimik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norilsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Khimik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Norilsk - Khimik Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
98. Gluschenko R. (G)
1. Pavlenko M. (G)
11. Steklov K.
4. Sokolov N. (A)
4. Shalapov Y. (C)
3. Ivanov D.
88. Shalagin M. (A)
2. Varyushkin Y.
36. Zlodeyev D.
65. Mansurov D.
8. Avramenko I.
41. Solovyov D.
Line 2
43. Sinitsky I.
43. Krasnichuk A.
66. Drugalya S. (A)
33. Sobolev D.
17. Golodnyuk S.
92. Yarovoi S.
87. Gorbunov Y.
91. Korotkikh I.
69. Filin F.
22. Petrov M.
Line 3
39. Bolshakov M.
5. Rukavishnikov R. (C)
5. Krasnov A.
74. Bryntsev A.
28. Shevchenko A.
20. Buruyanov N. (A)
89. Yemets I.
10. Kukstel P.
86. Kirileichenko M.
56. Avramov F.
Line 4
22. Rodionov A.
82. Karlik D.
14. Sinyatkin S.
70. Bychkov R.
67. Sharifyanov T.
7. Filimonov M.
71. Rasseikin M.
54. Rybenok S.
51. Sysoev D.
Substitutes
77. Guskov Y. (G)
31. Volokhin Y. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
06:57, 1 - 0, Drugalya S. (G),
13:32, 2 - 0, Yemets I. (G), Golodnyuk S. (A), Shalapov Y. (A2)
16:51, 2 - 1, Petrov M. (G), Korotkikh I. (A), Sokolov N. (A2)
19:40, 2 - 2, Kukstel P. (G), Bryntsev A. (A), Solovyov D. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
00:27, 3 - 2, Shalagin M. (G), Steklov K. (A),
07:51, 4 - 2, Shalagin M. (G), Avramenko I. (A),
15:32, 4 - 3, Mansurov D. (G), Rukavishnikov R. (A),
16:22, 5 - 3, Sharifyanov T. (G), Shalapov Y. (A), Rasseikin M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:20, 5 - 4, Solovyov D. (G), Krasnichuk A. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 2.
Norilsk is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Khimik have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Norilsk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Norilsk has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for Norilsk in today's match, at odds of 2.54.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Norilsk has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:25 (averaging 2.1:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Norilsk against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 6:11 goals (averaging 1.5:2.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
HC Norilsk
20
11
2
2
5
49:43
28
14
Khimik
18
7
2
4
5
59:40
22
Last Results with these Odds
Norilsk - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 29.02%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Khimik - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 46.33%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Gluschenko R. (G) 
Pavlenko M. (G) 
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