Match Info

VHL

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Bars Kazan		Khimik

	1	X	2
	3.57	3.66	1.7
	3.45	3.55	1.65
	3.44	4.15	1.87	Watch
	3.35	3.9	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.97)	3.82 ↓ (4.05)	1.76 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
25.8%

Draw
23.4%

Khimik
50.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.6%

23.1%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

24.5%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bars Kazan's form might have worsened.

Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Khimik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bars Kazan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Khimik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bars Kazan - Khimik Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Khimik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)	1. Kanayev P. (G)
39. Almetkin V.	4. Sokolov N.
24. Bogatov N.	3. Ivanov D.
93. Barsukov I.	91. Korotkikh I.
71. Shiksatdarov I.	56. Avramov F.
9. Alshevsky S.	22. Petrov M.
Line 2
76. Nikitin K.	43. Krasnichuk A.
18. Abrosimov R.	5. Rukavishnikov R.
98. Saberzyanov M.	54. Rybenok S.
55. Sherstnyov D.	41. Solovyov D.
17. Gizatullin D.	26. Pashin A.
Line 3
62. Naumov G.	87. Dmitriyev S.
53. Makhmutov A.	32. Maryshev A.
90. Ibragimov T.	92. Yarovoi S.
28. Golubev D.	20. Buruyanov N.
23. Zinovyev D.	10. Kukstel P.
Line 4
84. Safin A.	53. Tyurin N.
16. Toporkov V.	51. Sysoev D.
64. Gazizov R.	11. Yakunin Y.
61. Khasanov I.	9. Bykov A.
41. Klimkin I.	7. Filimonov M.
Substitutes
70. Konovalov M. (G)	31. Volokhin Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
04:13, 0 - 1, Kukstel P. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
08:38, 1 - 1, Gazizov R. (G), Khasanov I. (A), Klimkin I. (A2)
12:28, 2 - 1, Gazizov R. (G), Shiksatdarov I. (A), Naumov G. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bars won 4.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Bars could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Bars has faced a series of away games on the road.

Khimik is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bars has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:38 (averaging 2.2:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bars against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 20:16 goals (averaging 2:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
14	Khimik	18	7	2	4	5	59:40	22
17	Bars	18	9	0	1	8	42:54	19

Last Results with these Odds

Bars Kazan - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.56%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Khimik - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.29%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
06.10.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
04.10.26	Chelmet - Bars Kazan	3:4 ✺
02.10.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Bars Kazan	4:2 ✺
30.09.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Bars Kazan	4:0 ✺
25.09.26	Bars Kazan - Molot Perm	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLL
- MHC Khimik
VHL
08.10.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Khimik	3:2 ✺
06.10.26	CSK VVS Samara - Khimik	2:8 ✺
02.10.26	Khimik - SKA-VMF	1:0 ✺
30.09.26	Khimik - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:3 AET ✺
26.09.26	Khimik - Gornyak-UGMK	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
27.02.26	Khimik - Bars Kazan	2:3
17.09.25	Bars Kazan - Khimik	2:0
01.02.25	Khimik - Bars Kazan	2:3
18.10.24	Bars Kazan - Khimik	4:3
07.12.23	Khimik - Bars Kazan	3:1
03.11.23	Bars Kazan - Khimik	0:1
19.12.22	Khimik - Bars Kazan	4:3 OT

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