Match Info

VHL

Date: 23 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets Sporta (Naberezhnye Chelny)


	Chelny		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	5.5	5.1	1.45	Watch
	5.25	5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.38 ↓ (5.68)	5.05 ↓ (5.2)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelny
17.1%

Draw
18.2%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.5%

18%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

17.6%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Chelny - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Noskov A. (G)	94. Bogdanov N. (G)
72. Kolmagorov K. (C)	47. Churkin V.
5. Davydov D.	51. Mineyev M. (A)
59. Anufriev I.	17. Sokolov D. (C)
68. Silayev I. (A)	89. Guslistov N.
29. Manukyan A.	59. Perevalov A.
Line 2
62. Naumov G.	54. Chibrikov I.
50. Motygullin B. (A)	77. Vinogradov A.
25. Rakhcheev I.	88. Shalagin M.
26. Tarasov A.	21. Kodola V.
96. Lomako O.	18. Serdyuk Y.
Line 3
33. Dergousov D.	8. Naumov V.
77. Puzanov A.	53. Shchemerov A.
10. Ustimkin M.	97. Ovchinnikov D.
94. Sherstobitov D.	24. Khrapov F.
11. Luchenkov S.	10. Sheshin D. (A)
Line 4
22. Minnekhanov B.	5. Pozhidaev A.
87. Galiaskarov E.	75. Starikov L.
18. Guskov I.	33. Shablovsky Z.
9. Nasyrov M.	50. Kurbatov V.
	87. Gerasimov S.
Substitutes
80. Gorokhov N. (G)	73. Podskrebalin N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 3)
03:12, 1 - 0, Anufriev I. (G), Silayev I. (A),
03:46, 2 - 0, Luchenkov S. (G),
07:49, 2 - 1, Perevalov A. (G), Starikov L. (A),
12:18, 2 - 2, Sheshin D. (G), Ovchinnikov D. (A),
14:17, 2 - 3, Sokolov D. (G), Mineyev M. (A), Churkin V. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
10:12, 2 - 4, Sheshin D. (G), Naumov V. (A),
11:00, 2 - 5, Shalagin M. (G), Serdyuk Y. (A), Naumov V. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Chelny may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Metallurg N is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:26. (average 1.2:5.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelny won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 1:5.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Chelny - the odds 5.68 are the expected chance of winning is 16.46%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelny
VHL
21.12.25	Chelny - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	4:3 OT ✺
19.12.25	Chelny - Norilsk	4:2 ✺
14.12.25	Buran Voronezh - Chelny	2:6 ✺
12.12.25	Rostov - Chelny	3:0 ✺
10.12.25	Tambov - Chelny	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 WWWLW
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
21.12.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:1 ✺
15.12.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - SKA-VMF	6:1 ✺
13.12.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:2 ✺
04.12.25	SKA-VMF - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:3 ✺
02.12.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
24.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelny	3:2
21.12.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelny	2:1
23.11.24	Chelny - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:3
07.12.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelny	10:1
11.11.23	Chelny - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:8

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