Match Info

VHL

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets Sporta (Naberezhnye Chelny)


	Chelny		Norilsk

	1	X	2
	2.91	3.66	2.13
	2.44	3.86	2.48	Watch
	2.45	4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.45)	3.84 ↓ (3.89)	2.37 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelny
36%

Draw
24.4%

Norilsk
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

24.1%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

23.9%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Norilsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Chelny - Norilsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Sartakov V. (G)	37. Botov M. (G)
72. Kolmagorov K. (C)	28. Makeyev N.
5. Davydov D.	98. Abdeyev I.
59. Anufriev I.	56. Mokin N. (C)
68. Silayev I. (A)	11. Shevchenko V. (A)
29. Manukyan A.	69. Skorikov D.
Line 2
62. Naumov G.	18. Alexeyev D.
50. Motygullin B. (A)	44. Kovalev I.
25. Rakhcheev I.	71. Golodnyuk S.
18. Guskov I.	89. Gorbunov D. (A)
96. Lomako O.	74. Lapshin I.
Line 3
33. Dergousov D.	64. Minayev Y.
77. Puzanov A.	21. Kolomiytsev I.
10. Ustimkin M.	93. Korenev I.
94. Sherstobitov D.	92. Yakovlev Y.
11. Luchenkov S.	19. Aksenov A.
Line 4
19. Zakharov N.	51. Popov O.
86. Minnekhanov T.	58. Yadykin Y.
69. Redkov A.	17. Dergunov P.
22. Minnekhanov B.	97. Leontyev A.
Substitutes
31. Noskov A. (G)	45. Nikitin V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:21, 1 - 0, Anufriev I. (G), Manukyan A. (A), Silayev I. (A2)
08:42, 2 - 0, Guskov I. (G), Dergousov D. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
02:15, 3 - 0, Manukyan A. (G), Silayev I. (A),
04:26, 3 - 1, Shevchenko V. (G), Leontyev A. (A),
07:29, 3 - 2, Golodnyuk S. (G),
16:39, 4 - 2, Luchenkov S. (G),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Chelny may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Chelny will win today's game, with odds of 2.42.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 4.2:4.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelny won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 4.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelny
VHL
14.12.25	Buran Voronezh - Chelny	2:6 ✺
12.12.25	Rostov - Chelny	3:0 ✺
10.12.25	Tambov - Chelny	2:3 ✺
04.12.25	Chelny - Buran Voronezh	0:1 ✺
02.12.25	Chelny - Rostov	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WLWLW
- HK Norilsk
VHL
17.12.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Norilsk	3:4 OT ✺
10.12.25	Norilsk - SKA-VMF	3:4 penalties ✺
08.12.25	Norilsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:3 ✺
05.12.25	Norilsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	3:2 penalties ✺
30.11.25	SKA-VMF - Norilsk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
19.11.25	Norilsk - Chelny	3:6
25.12.24	Norilsk - Chelny	3:2
19.11.24	Chelny - Norilsk	4:3 penalties
04.02.24	Norilsk - Chelny	9:4
18.09.23	Chelny - Norilsk	5:4 penalties

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