Match Info

VHL

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Kuznetsk Metallurgists (Novokuznetsk)


	Metallurg Novokuznetsk		Dinamo St. Petersburg

	1	X	2
	1.66	4.13	3.95
	1.61	4.55	4.44	Watch
	1.68	4.3	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.67)	4.33 ↓ (4.4)	4.21 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
56.4%

Draw
21.5%

Dinamo St. Petersburg
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

21.3%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

21%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Dinamo St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Dinamo St. Petersburg aligns with the current prediction.

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)	88. Kulikov D. (G)
51. Mineyev M.	26. Salakhov M. (A)
47. Churkin V.	79. Tikhonov M.
59. Perevalov A.	94. Pukhov N.
40. Apalkov D. (C)	78. Nechayev A.
17. Sokolov D. (A)	47. Grebenshchikov S.
Line 2
77. Vinogradov A.	18. Khuzin R.
75. Starikov L.	7. Kozlovsky Y.
18. Serdyuk Y.	31. Mikhailov V.
89. Guslistov N.	93. Zugan D.
88. Shalagin M.	96. Zinchenko I.
Line 3
9. Belov D.	38. Baklashev N.
53. Shchemerov A.	14. Nurgaliyev E.
10. Sheshin D. (A)	25. Kisakov A.
24. Khrapov F.	12. Chernov A.
97. Ovchinnikov D.	72. Prokhorov D.
Line 4
54. Chibrikov I.	11. Yezhov I.
26. Tkach S.	42. Zhukenov D.
87. Gerasimov S.	10. Nazarevich A.
21. Kodola V.	9. Davydov D.
33. Shablovsky Z.	97. Ugolnikov I.
Substitutes
94. Bogdanov N. (G)	22. Velmakin Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
13:05, 1 - 0, Kodola V. (G), Vinogradov A. (A), Sheshin D. (A2)
14:46, 2 - 0, Shalagin M. (G), Mineyev M. (A), Perevalov A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
05:33, 2 - 1, Ugolnikov I. (G), Chernov A. (A), Prokhorov D. (A2)
09:34, 2 - 2, Baklashev N. (G), Ugolnikov I. (A), Chernov A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
05:36, 3 - 2, Ovchinnikov D. (G), Khrapov F. (A),
07:36, 4 - 2, Apalkov D. (G), Ovchinnikov D. (A), Shalagin M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 2.

Metallurg N has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Dinamo SP's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dinamo SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Metallurg N is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 48:60. (average 2.4:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 2.7:2.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.21%, but this team recently wins 92% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
04.12.25	SKA-VMF - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:3 ✺
02.12.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:4 ✺
28.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Bars Kazan	4:2 ✺
26.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - CSK VVS Samara	3:0 ✺
24.11.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelny	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW
- HC Dinamo St. Petersburg
VHL
11.12.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	5:4 OT ✺
08.12.25	Norilsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:3 ✺
04.12.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Dynamo-Altay	7:1 ✺
02.12.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:4 ✺
30.11.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
02.12.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
22.08.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:4
VHL
17.02.25	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:1
02.10.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
23.08.24	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	5:0
VHL
07.02.24	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	5:3
21.09.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	0:2

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