Match Info

VHL

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ledovy Dvorets Sporta (Naberezhnye Chelny) 🌤️ ...


	Chelny		SKA-VMF

	1	X	2
	3.12	3.73	2
	3.31	4.05	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.75)	3.89 ↓ (3.96)	1.97 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelny
28.9%

Draw
23.9%

SKA-VMF
47.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.1%

23.7%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

23.5%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chelny's form might have worsened.

SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SKA-VMF's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Chelny - SKA VMF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Noskov A. (G)	31. Saranchuk G. (G)
44. Vinogradov A.	5. Yarullin A.
50. Motygullin B. (A)	84. Vydrenkov I. (A)
18. Guskov I.	96. Kabat M.
70. Maltsev M.	19. Zinchenko I. (A)
96. Lomako O. (C)	97. Nugmanov A.
Line 2
58. Muzhikov D.	27. Sapunov V.
77. Puzanov A.	14. Shekhovtsov Y. (C)
10. Ustimkin M.	89. Surayev N.
26. Tarasov A.	24. Sharov A.
94. Sherstobitov D.	17. Kabush M.
Line 3
62. Naumov G.	63. Anisimov S.
33. Dergousov D.	68. Beshkorov K.
59. Anufriev I.	82. Mamaladze D.
68. Silayev I. (A)	83. Shamshurin S.
29. Manukyan A.	23. Osipov G.
Line 4
19. Zakharov N.	12. Remezovsky I.
25. Rakhcheev I.	10. Ignatov I.
69. Redkov A.	40. Proskurnin A.
22. Minnekhanov B.	11. Gorbushin M.
Substitutes
60. Sartakov V. (G)	52. Moysevich P. (G)
	74. Podlyagin N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
14:14, 0 - 1, Zinchenko I. (G), Nugmanov A. (A), Anisimov S. (A2)
19:08, 0 - 2, Osipov G. (G), Shamshurin S. (A), Remezovsky I. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:16, 0 - 3, Nugmanov A. (G), Zinchenko I. (A), Sapunov V. (A2)
10:56, 1 - 3, Muzhikov D. (G), Ustimkin M. (A), Sherstobitov D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
15:14, 1 - 4, Zinchenko I. (G), Nugmanov A. (A),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chelny may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, SKA-VMF has had a series of home games.

SKA-VMF might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chelny won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1.5:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelny won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

SKA-VMF - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.23%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelny
VHL
11.11.25	Chelny - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Chelny - Bars Kazan	2:1 penalties ✺
31.10.25	Chelny - CSK VVS Samara	2:4 ✺
25.10.25	AKM - Chelny	2:6 ✺
23.10.25	Ryazan - Chelny	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 LWLWW
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
VHL
11.11.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - SKA-VMF	5:1 ✺
05.11.25	SKA-VMF - AKM	3:2 ✺
03.11.25	SKA-VMF - Ryazan	5:2 ✺
01.11.25	SKA-VMF - Dizel Penza	4:3 ✺
30.10.25	SKA-VMF - Kristall Saratov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
01.03.25	Chelny - SKA-VMF	1:2
23.09.24	SKA-VMF - Chelny	4:3
01.12.23	Chelny - SKA-VMF	2:3
21.11.23	SKA-VMF - Chelny	4:0

Chelny - SKA-VMF