Match Info

NHL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: Ball Arena (Denver, CO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Action, Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Mix
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	TVP Sport
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Colorado Avalanche		Vegas Golden Knights

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.25	3.35	Watch
	1.95	4.3	3.25
	1.9	4.5	3.5
	1.88	4.54	3.33	Watch
	1.85	4	3
	1.91	4.52	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.86)	4.35 ↓ (4.37)	3.29 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colorado Avalanche
49.6%

Draw
21.7%

Vegas Golden Knights
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

21.6%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

22.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colorado Avalanche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	72.7%	9.1%

Colorado Avalanche - Vegas Golden Knights Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Vegas will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Colorado (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Period - draw (2.74) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5, OT - under (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
41. Wedgewood S. (G)	79. Hart C. (G)
70. Malinski S.	27. Theodore S.
7. Toews D. (A)	3. McNabb B. (A)
88. Necas M.	16. Dorofeyev P.
29. MacKinnon N. (A)	9. Eichel J. (A)
92. Landeskog G. (C)	49. Barbashev I.
Line 2
84. Burns B.	4. Andersson R.
27. Kulak B.	15. Hanifin N.
10. Roy N.	93. Marner M.
11. Nelson B.	71. Karlsson W. (A)
62. Lehkonen A.	21. Howden B.
Line 3
42. Manson J.	52. Coghlan D.
37. Blankenburg N.	6. Korczak K.
13. Nichushkin V.	10. Sissons C.
91. Kadri N.	48. Hertl T.
20. Colton R.	20. Saad B.
Line 4
25. O'Connor L.	55. Kolesar K.
18. Drury J.	26. Dowd N.
17. Kelly P.	22. Smith C.
Substitutes
39. Blackwood M. (G)	33. Hill A. (G)
Coaches
. Bednar J.	. Tortorella J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
16:59, 1 - 0, Colton R. (G), Burns B. (A), Kadri N. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
01:33, Necas M. (2 min),
01:33, Necas M. (2 min),
02:19, Eichel J. (2 min),
13:31, Roy N. (2 min),
18:42, Theodore S. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
01:58, Theodore S. (2 min),
04:48, Burns B. (2 min),
09:15, 1 - 1, Eichel J. (G), Dorofeyev P. (A), Barbashev I. (A2)
11:22, 1 - 2, Barbashev I. (G), Eichel J. (A), Dorofeyev P. (A2)
18:57, 1 - 3, Barbashev I. (G), Andersson R. (A),

Preview

Vegas Golden Knights leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 2.

Recent performances by Colorado have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vegas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Colorado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Vegas has had a series of away games.

Colorado could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Colorado: Makar C. (Injury)

There will not play in Vegas: Lauzon J. (Upper-Body Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Vegas: Stone M. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 53:65. (average 2.7:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Colorado won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 2.5:2.3).

Outrights of NHL for now

Colorado Avalanche: 9.6% Vegas Golden Knights: 7.21%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colorado Avalanche
NHL
20.05.26	Colorado Avalanche - Vegas Golden Knights	2:4 ✺
13.05.26	Colorado Avalanche - Minnesota Wild	4:3 OT ✺
11.05.26	Minnesota Wild - Colorado Avalanche	2:5 ✺
09.05.26	Minnesota Wild - Colorado Avalanche	5:1 ✺
05.05.26	Colorado Avalanche - Minnesota Wild	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLW
- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
20.05.26	Colorado Avalanche - Vegas Golden Knights	2:4 ✺
14.05.26	Anaheim Ducks - Vegas Golden Knights	1:5 ✺
12.05.26	Vegas Golden Knights - Anaheim Ducks	3:2 OT ✺
10.05.26	Anaheim Ducks - Vegas Golden Knights	4:3 ✺
08.05.26	Anaheim Ducks - Vegas Golden Knights	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
20.05.26	Colorado Avalanche - Vegas Golden Knights	2:4
11.04.26	Colorado Avalanche - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3 OT
27.12.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Colorado Avalanche	5:6 penalties
31.10.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Colorado Avalanche	2:4
01.10.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Colorado Avalanche	2:1
30.09.25	Colorado Avalanche - Vegas Golden Knights	4:2
08.04.25	Colorado Avalanche - Vegas Golden Knights	3:2 penalties

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