Match Info

NHL

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Dallas Stars		Ottawa Senators

	1	X	2
	2.15	4	2.9	Watch
	2.13	4.33	2.84
	2.25	4.4	2.8
	2.01	4.26	3.07	Watch
	2.16	4.41	2.81
	2.1	4.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.06)	4.28 ↓ (4.52)	2.88 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dallas Stars
44.7%

Draw
22.2%

Ottawa Senators
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

21.5%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

19.7%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dallas Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dallas Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	17.6%	23.5%

Dallas Stars - Ottawa Senators Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Ottawa will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dallas Stars will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Oettinger J. (G)	35. Ullmark L. (G)
4. Heiskanen M. (A)	2. Zub A.
23. Lindell E.	85. Sanderson J.
96. Rantanen M.	19. Batherson D.
53. Johnston W.	18. Stutzle T. (A)
14. Benn Ja. (C)	57. Perron D.
Line 2
28. Petrovic A.	10. Spence J.
6. Bichsel L.	43. Kleven T.
91. Seguin T. (A)	20. Zetterlund F.
24. Hintz R.	24. Cozens D.
21. Robertson J.	7. Tkachuk B. (C)
Line 3
44. Kolyachonok V.	3. Jensen N.
20. Capobianco K.	33. Matinpalo N.
22. Bourque M.	28. Giroux C. (A)
49. Hryckowian J.	12. Pinto S.
10. Back O.	22. Amadio M.
Line 4
15. Blackwell C.	42. Hodgson H.
12. Faksa R.	89. Eller L.
18. Steel S.	21. Cousins N.
Substitutes
1. DeSmith C. (G)	1. Merilainen L. (G)
Coaches
. Gulutzan G.	. Green T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
07:08, Amadio M. (2 min),
09:41, Petrovic A. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
01:58, 1 - 0, Bourque M. (G), Lyubushkin I. (A), Back O. (A2)
08:36, 1 - 1, Sanderson J. (G), Perron D. (A), Cousins N. (A2)
09:20, 2 - 1, Robertson J. (G),
12:19, Capobianco K. (2 min),
15:33, 3 - 1, Johnston W. (G), Rantanen M. (A), Robertson J. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
00:35, Heiskanen M. (2 min),
02:13, Spence J. (2 min),
02:52, 4 - 1, Johnston W. (G), Rantanen M. (A), Hintz R. (A2)
07:24, 5 - 1, Benn Ja. (G), Rantanen M. (A), Johnston W. (A2)
09:42, Hintz R. (2 min),
09:42, Cozens D. (2 min),
09:42, Cozens D. (2 min),
14:26, Amadio M. (2 min),
15:41, 6 - 1, Johnston W. (G), Hintz R. (A), Robertson J. (A2)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 3.

Dallas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Ottawa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Dallas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Dallas: Duchene M. (Upper-Body Injury) Erne A. (Lower-Body Injury) Harley T. (Lower-Body Injury) Lundkvist N. (Lower-Body Injury) Lyubushkin I. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Ottawa: Chabot T. (Upper-Body Injury) Greig R. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 56:67. (average 2.8:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:33. (average 3.3:3.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dallas Stars
NHL
28.11.25	Dallas Stars - Utah Mammoth	4:3 ✺
26.11.25	Seattle Kraken - Dallas Stars	2:3 ✺
25.11.25	Edmonton Oilers - Dallas Stars	3:8 ✺
22.11.25	Calgary Flames - Dallas Stars	3:2 penalties ✺
20.11.25	Vancouver Canucks - Dallas Stars	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWLW
- Ottawa Senators
NHL
28.11.25	St. Louis Blues - Ottawa Senators	4:3 ✺
26.11.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Ottawa Senators	3:4 penalties ✺
24.11.25	Los Angeles Kings - Ottawa Senators	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	San Jose Sharks - Ottawa Senators	2:3 ✺
20.11.25	Anaheim Ducks - Ottawa Senators	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
11.11.25	Ottawa Senators - Dallas Stars	2:3 OT
12.01.25	Ottawa Senators - Dallas Stars	3:2
02.01.25	Dallas Stars - Ottawa Senators	4:2
22.02.24	Ottawa Senators - Dallas Stars	4:1
15.12.23	Dallas Stars - Ottawa Senators	5:4
08.12.22	Dallas Stars - Ottawa Senators	4:3 OT
24.10.22	Ottawa Senators - Dallas Stars	4:2

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