Match Info

NHL

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Enterprise Center (St. Louis, MO)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	St. Louis Blues		Ottawa Senators

	1	X	2
	2.55	4	2.4	Watch
	2.49	4.19	2.42
	2.52	4.1	2.44
	2.27	4.23	2.63	Watch
	2.48	4.34	2.43
	2.6	4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.27)	4.14 ↓ (4.23)	2.45 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Louis Blues
38.2%

Draw
22.9%

Ottawa Senators
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

22.4%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

22.5%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Ottawa Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis Blues than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	41.7%	41.7%

St. Louis Blues - Ottawa Senators Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. St. Louis will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Ottawa will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ottawa: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. St. Louis (votes: 1 - 25%). Ottawa (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
50. Binnington J. (G)	1. Merilainen L. (G)
55. Parayko C. (A)	2. Zub A.
6. Broberg P.	85. Sanderson J.
25. Kyrou J.	19. Batherson D.
18. Thomas R. (A)	18. Stutzle T. (A)
89. Buchnevich P.	7. Tkachuk B. (C)
Line 2
72. Faulk J.	10. Spence J.
75. Tucker T.	43. Kleven T.
63. Neighbours J.	20. Zetterlund F.
54. Dvorsky D.	24. Cozens D.
81. Holloway D.	57. Perron D.
Line 3
23. Mailloux L.	3. Jensen N.
17. Fowler C.	33. Matinpalo N.
21. Snuggerud J.	28. Giroux C. (A)
22. Suter P.	12. Pinto S.
10. Schenn B. (C)	22. Amadio M.
Line 4
26. Walker N.	42. Hodgson H.
70. Sundqvist O.	89. Eller L.
71. Joseph M.	21. Cousins N.
Substitutes
30. Hofer J. (G)	35. Ullmark L. (G)
Coaches
. Montgomery J.	. Green T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
04:12, Fowler C. (2 min),
04:12, Stutzle T. (2 min),
06:36, Batherson D. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:31, Joseph M. (2 min),
00:31, Mailloux L. (2 min),
00:31, Cozens D. (2 min),
07:59, 1 - 0, Sundqvist O. (G), Joseph M. (A), Walker N. (A2)
10:11, 1 - 1, Pinto S. (G), Matinpalo N. (A), Amadio M. (A2)
10:30, Hodgson H. (2 min),
15:37, Stutzle T. (2 min),
18:26, 1 - 2, Zetterlund F. (G), Sanderson J. (A), Tkachuk B. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
02:01, 2 - 2, Kyrou J. (G), Neighbours J. (A), Thomas R. (A2)
05:33, 3 - 2, Buchnevich P. (G), Schenn B. (A), Broberg P. (A2)
07:31, 3 - 3, Perron D. (G),
09:19, 4 - 3, Kessel M. (G), Holloway D. (A), Suter P. (A2)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 4.

St. Louis is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Ottawa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in St. Louis: Krug T. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Ottawa: Tkachuk B. (Finger Injury)

There are questionable in Ottawa: Chabot T. (Upper-Body Injury) Greig R. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 68:53. (average 3.4:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 3.2:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

St. Louis Blues - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.67%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Ottawa Senators - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.97%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Louis Blues
NHL
26.11.25	New Jersey Devils - St. Louis Blues	3:2 OT ✺
24.11.25	New York Rangers - St. Louis Blues	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	New York Islanders - St. Louis Blues	1:2 ✺
20.11.25	Philadelphia Flyers - St. Louis Blues	3:2 OT ✺
18.11.25	Toronto Maple Leafs - St. Louis Blues	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL
- Ottawa Senators
NHL
26.11.25	Vegas Golden Knights - Ottawa Senators	3:4 penalties ✺
24.11.25	Los Angeles Kings - Ottawa Senators	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	San Jose Sharks - Ottawa Senators	2:3 ✺
20.11.25	Anaheim Ducks - Ottawa Senators	2:3 ✺
15.11.25	Ottawa Senators - Los Angeles Kings	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
02.10.25	St. Louis Blues - Ottawa Senators	7:1
03.01.25	St. Louis Blues - Ottawa Senators	4:0
29.10.24	Ottawa Senators - St. Louis Blues	8:1
21.03.24	Ottawa Senators - St. Louis Blues	2:5
14.12.23	St. Louis Blues - Ottawa Senators	4:2
19.02.23	Ottawa Senators - St. Louis Blues	7:2
16.01.23	St. Louis Blues - Ottawa Senators	2:1

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