Match Info

NHL

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Vegas Golden Knights		Ottawa Senators

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.2	3.6	Watch
	1.89	4.43	3.36
	1.92	4.4	3.35
	1.94	4.35	3.19	Watch
	1.91	4.42	3.37
	1.83	4.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.94)	4.34 ↓ (4.35)	3.41 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vegas Golden Knights
50.3%

Draw
21.9%

Ottawa Senators
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

21.7%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

20.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vegas Golden Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Ottawa Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	33.3%	25%

Vegas Golden Knights - Ottawa Senators Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Vegas will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Ottawa will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vegas: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Vegas (votes: 1 - 20%). Ottawa (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Schmid A. (G)	35. Ullmark L. (G)
27. Theodore S.	2. Zub A.
3. McNabb B.	85. Sanderson J. (A)
42. Bowman B.	19. Batherson D.
9. Eichel J. (A)	18. Stutzle T. (A)
49. Barbashev I.	57. Perron D.
Line 2
2. Whitecloud Z.	10. Spence J.
15. Hanifin N.	43. Kleven T.
61. Stone M. (C)	20. Zetterlund F.
21. Howden B.	24. Cozens D.
93. Marner M.	89. Eller L.
Line 3
6. Korczak K.	3. Jensen N.
17. Hutton B.	33. Matinpalo N.
20. Saad B.	28. Giroux C. (A)
48. Hertl T.	12. Pinto S.
16. Dorofeyev P.	22. Amadio M.
Line 4
55. Kolesar K.	42. Hodgson H.
10. Sissons C.	83. Halliday S.
19. Smith R.	21. Cousins N.
Substitutes
30. Lindbom C. (G)	1. Merilainen L. (G)
Coaches
. Cassidy B.	. Green T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 3)
00:51, 0 - 1, Pinto S. (G), Sanderson J. (A), Giroux C. (A2)
01:58, Giroux C. (2 min),
12:11, Whitecloud Z. (2 min),
13:04, 0 - 2, Sanderson J. (G), Giroux C. (A), Stutzle T. (A2)
16:52, 1 - 2, Howden B. (G), Marner M. (A), Theodore S. (A2)
19:43, 1 - 3, Batherson D. (G), Stutzle T. (A), Sanderson J. (A2)
19:47, Saad B. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:09, 2 - 3, Eichel J. (G), Barbashev I. (A), Bowman B. (A2)
10:29, Hodgson H. (2 min),
17:26, Marner M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:12, Cozens D. (2 min),
06:40, 3 - 3, Stone M. (G), Hertl T. (A), Eichel J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 1)
1, Batherson D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Dorofeyev P. (Penalty Shot),
2, Stutzle T. (Penalty Shot),
2, Eichel J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Pinto S. (Penalty Shot),
3, Marner M. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Vegas has had a series of away games.

Vegas might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Vegas: Hill A. (Lower-Body Injury) Karlsson W. (Lower-Body Injury) Lauzon J. (Injury) Pietrangelo A. (Hip Injury) Stone M. (Wrist Injury)

There will not play in Ottawa: Chabot T. (Upper-Body Injury) Greig R. (Injury) Tkachuk B. (Finger Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vegas won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 59:39. (average 4.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Vegas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:19. (average 4.1:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Ottawa Senators - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 29.61%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vegas Golden Knights
NHL
24.11.25	Utah Mammoth - Vegas Golden Knights	5:1 ✺
22.11.25	Anaheim Ducks - Vegas Golden Knights	4:3 OT ✺
20.11.25	Utah Mammoth - Vegas Golden Knights	1:4 ✺
18.11.25	Vegas Golden Knights - New York Rangers	3:2 ✺
16.11.25	Minnesota Wild - Vegas Golden Knights	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWL
- Ottawa Senators
NHL
24.11.25	Los Angeles Kings - Ottawa Senators	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	San Jose Sharks - Ottawa Senators	2:3 ✺
20.11.25	Anaheim Ducks - Ottawa Senators	2:3 ✺
15.11.25	Ottawa Senators - Los Angeles Kings	0:1 ✺
13.11.25	Ottawa Senators - Boston Bruins	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
21.11.24	Ottawa Senators - Vegas Golden Knights	2:3
25.10.24	Vegas Golden Knights - Ottawa Senators	6:4
24.02.24	Ottawa Senators - Vegas Golden Knights	4:3 penalties
17.12.23	Vegas Golden Knights - Ottawa Senators	6:3
23.11.22	Vegas Golden Knights - Ottawa Senators	4:1
03.11.22	Ottawa Senators - Vegas Golden Knights	4:5
06.03.22	Vegas Golden Knights - Ottawa Senators	2:1

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