Match Info

National League - Round 3

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: VAT Arena (Davos)


	Davos		EV Zug

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.75	4.00	Watch
	1.72	4.50	3.75
	1.66	4.40	3.95
	1.80	4.41	3.46
	1.6	4.72	4.33	Watch
	1.78	4.35	3.40
	1.73	4.55	4.03	Watch
	1.72	4.40	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.71)	4.51 ↑ (4.26)	3.83 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Davos
54.8%

Draw
20.7%

EV Zug
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

21.8%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

21.9%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Davos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

EV Zug has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Davos than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Davos - EV Zug Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Davos will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Aeschlimann S. (G)	30. Genoni L. (G)
55. Andersson C.	16. Diaz R.
90. Jung S.	66. Sklenicka D.
72. Kessler T.	90. Tatar T.
70. Corvi E.	43. Kovar J. (C)
74. Asplund R.	40. Wingerli A.
Line 2
58. Allard F.	32. Bengtsson L.
38. Frick L.	3. Moverare J.
66. Nussbaumer V.	9. Rohrer V.
25. Waidacher B.	88. Senteler S.
62. Schreiber H.	11. Petrovic N.
Line 3
46. Egli D.	65. Schneller E.
16. Van der Kaaij G.	42. Geisser T.
87. Steiner L.	8. Gredig R.
17. Jager K. (C)	96. Egli C.
19. Tambellini A.	86. Antenen R. N.
Line 4
77. Gross N.	14. Stadler L.
22. Lemieux B.	37. Riva E.
15. Ryfors S.	77. Wey L.
18. Zadina F.	61. Leuenberger S.
	95. Lindemann C. S.
Substitutes
51. Hollenstein L. (G)	31. Croce M. (G)
21. Parree J.
Coaches
. Holden J.	. Marjamaki L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
03:32, 0 - 1, Tatar T. (G),
06:23, Schreiber H. (2 min),
08:21, 0 - 2, Tatar T. (G), Bengtsson L. (A), Rohrer V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:09, Jung S. (5 min),
02:28, 0 - 3, Tatar T. (G), Rohrer V. (A), Bengtsson L. (A2)
03:05, Senteler S. (2 min),
07:43, 1 - 3, Allard F. (G), Van der Kaaij G. (A),
10:34, Diaz R. (2 min),
14:12, Van der Kaaij G. (2 min),
17:07, 1 - 4, Egli C. (G), Wingerli A. (A),
19:22, (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
03:35, Wingerli A. (2 min),
05:16, 2 - 4, Ryfors S. (G), Tambellini A. (A), Egli D. (A2)
18:29, 2 - 5, Tatar T. (G), Kovar J. (A), Wingerli A. (A2)
19:05, 2 - 6, Senteler S. (G), Rohrer V. (A), Moverare J. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Davos won 4.

Davos has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

EV Zug is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Davos may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, EV Zug has had a run of games away from home.

Bookmakers give the edge to Davos for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Davos has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 76:48 (averaging 3.8:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Davos against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 47:22 goals (averaging 4.7:2.2 per game).

Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now

Davos: 14.24% Zug: 7.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Davos	10	4	0	1	5	25:28	13
12	Zug	6	3	0	1	2	22:14	10

Last Results with these Odds

Davos - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.24%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Davos
Swiss National League Hockey
18.09.26	Bern - Davos	5:2 ✺
15.09.26	Davos - SCL Tigers	4:1 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
12.09.26	Skellefteå - Davos	6:2 ✺
10.09.26	GKS Tychy - Davos	2:4 ✺
06.09.26	Davos - Eisbären Berlin	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWW
- EV Zug
Swiss National League Hockey
15.09.26	Lausanne HC - EV Zug	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
10.09.26	SCL Tigers - EV Zug	2:3 ✺
04.09.26	ERC Ingolstadt - EV Zug	3:4 AET ✺
29.08.26	EV Zug - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	4:1 ✺
27.08.26	Motor České Budějovice - EV Zug	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
28.03.26	Davos - EV Zug	4:1
26.03.26	EV Zug - Davos	5:2
24.03.26	Davos - EV Zug	7:3
22.03.26	EV Zug - Davos	0:2
20.03.26	Davos - EV Zug	4:3
27.01.26	Davos - EV Zug	4:1
23.12.25	EV Zug - Davos	3:2 penalties

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