Match Info

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Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Davos		Lugano

	1	X	2
	2	4.3	2.9
	1.98	4.3	3.01
	1.97	3.98	2.95
	1.95	4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.96)	4.15 ↓ (4.28)	2.92 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Davos
46.4%

Draw
22.1%

Lugano
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

21.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

22.5%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Davos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The chances for Lugano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Davos than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Davos - Lugano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
51. Hollenstein L. (G)	37. Van Pottelberghe J. (G)
38. Frick L.	26. Aebischer D.
6. Dahlbeck K. (C)	63. Dahlstrom C.
96. Egli C.	16. Emanuelsson E.
66. Nussbaumer V.	19. Kupari R.
22. Lemieux B.	10. Sekac J.
Line 2
55. Andersson C.	22. Alatalo S.
77. Gross N.	52. Peltonen J.
93. Frehner Y.	94. Simion D. (C)
15. Ryfors S.	18. Valk C.
19. Tambellini A.	96. Perlini B.
Line 3
57. Barandun D.	58. Carrick C.
7. Claesson L.	9. Zanetti B.
72. Kessler T.	13. Bertaggia A.
74. Asplund R.	21. Sanford Z.
18. Zadina F.	12. Peltonen A.
Line 4
35. Minder T.	81. Togni E.
8. Gredig R.	72. Besanidis A.
25. Waidacher B.	7. Tanner R.
21. Parree J.	43. Bissig M.
Substitutes
29. Aeschlimann S. (G)	34. Schlegel N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
06:38, 0 - 1, Zanetti B. (G), Carrick C. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:25, 1 - 1, Zadina F. (G),
02:33, 2 - 1, Frick L. (G), Waidacher B. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
17:04, 3 - 1, Dahlbeck K. (G), Asplund R. (A),
17:46, 4 - 1, Ryfors S. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Davos won 4.

Davos has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lugano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Davos could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Davos will win today's game, with odds of 1.98.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Davos won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 57:46. (average 2.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Davos won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:16. (average 2.8:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Davos - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.98%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Lugano - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.48%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Davos
Swiss National League Hockey
01.02.26	Davos - Fribourg-Gottéron	5:2 ✺
30.01.26	Davos - Bern	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - Davos	3:4 ✺
27.01.26	Davos - EV Zug	4:1 ✺
24.01.26	Lugano - Davos	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWWW
- HC Lugano
Swiss National League Hockey
31.01.26	Lugano - Genève-Servette	5:1 ✺
29.01.26	Ambrì-Piotta - Lugano	3:2 ✺
27.01.26	Lugano - Rapperswil-Jona Lakers	7:3 ✺
24.01.26	Lugano - Davos	1:4 ✺
23.01.26	Fribourg-Gottéron - Lugano	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
24.01.26	Lugano - Davos	1:4
20.12.25	Davos - Lugano	5:4
16.10.25	Lugano - Davos	0:2
20.09.25	Davos - Lugano	2:0
17.01.25	Lugano - Davos	6:3
08.12.24	Davos - Lugano	2:1 OT
25.10.24	Davos - Lugano	8:1

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