The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lugano 48.4%
Draw 22%
Rapperswil-Jona Lakers 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.6%
21.5%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
23.9%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Rapperswil-Jona Lakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapperswil-Jona Lakers than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Lugano - Rapperswil Jona Lakers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Schlegel N. (G)
74. Punnenovs I. (G)
60. Thomson L.
29. Ustinkov D.
25. Muller M.
4. Larsson J.
17. Fazzini L. (A)
16. Fritz T.
21. Sanford Z.
49. Rask V.
14. Canonica L.
72. Wetter G.
Line 2
26. Aebischer D.
7. Capaul L.
63. Dahlstrom C.
20. Pilut L.
10. Bertaggia A.
33. Hofer V.
97. Thurkauf C. (C)
95. Moy T. (A)
12. Innala J.
68. Herzog F.
Line 3
22. Alatalo S. (A)
24. Dufner M.
52. Peltonen J.
17. Jelovac I.
11. Zanetti M.
12. Labanc K.
73. Shore N.
23. Dunner N. (C)
15. Lycksell O.
89. Lammer D.
Line 4
65. Cjunskis H.
64. Quinn B.
91. Olsson D.
11. Maier F. (A)
23. Morini G.
69. Graf M.
7. Tanner R.
47. Hornecker J.
77. Segafredo A.
Substitutes
13. Peltonen A.
1. Kohler N. (G)
37. Van Pottelberghe J. (G)
Coaches
. Mitell T.
. Lundskog J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
00:20, Ustinkov D. (2 min),
01:50, 1 - 0, Lycksell O. (G), Fazzini L. (A),
04:39, Lammer D. (2 min),
06:55, Thomson L. (2 min),
18:30, Rask V. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
03:47, 2 - 0, Thomson L. (G),
07:58, 3 - 0, Sanford Z. (G), Fazzini L. (A),
10:05, Innala J. (2 min),
13:05, 3 - 1, Graf M. (G), Hornecker J. (A), Segafredo A. (A2)
14:32, Wetter G. (2 min),
17:32, 4 - 1, Tanner R. (G), Olsson D. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:25, Thurkauf C. (2 min),
12:26, 4 - 2, Maier F. (G), Moy T. (A),
18:29, 5 - 2, Innala J. (G), Shore N. (A), Dahlstrom C. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 4.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Lugano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lugano holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lugano has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:61 (averaging 3.2:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lugano against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 27:27 goals (averaging 3:3 per game).
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Lugano: 5.51% Rapperswil-Jona: 3.26%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
Lugano
10
4
1
1
4
37:33
15
11
Rapperswil-Jona
11
2
2
1
6
28:42
11
Last Results with these Odds
Rapperswil-Jona Lakers - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 27.88%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.