The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Detroit Red Wings 49.7%
Draw 22.3%
Calgary Flames 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
22.1%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.3%
24%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Detroit Red Wings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Calgary Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.9%
15.4%
7.7%
Detroit Red Wings - Calgary Flames Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Calgary will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 54% – 99.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Detroit (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
36. Gibson J. (G)
32. Wolf D. (G)
53. Seider M. (A)
8. White G.
77. Edvinsson S.
7. Bahl K. (A)
88. Kane P.
86. Farabee J.
37. Compher J.T.
11. Backlund M. (C)
93. DeBrincat A.
20. Coleman B. (A)
Line 2
72. Faulk J.
48. Brzustewicz H.
8. Chiarot B.
3. Maatta O.
23. Raymond L. (A)
27. Coronato M.
58. Finnie E.
16. Frost M.
57. Perron D.
92. Gridin M.
Line 3
25. Bernard-Docker J.
19. Parekh Z.
20. Johansson A.
44. Hanley J.
43. Leonard J.
95. Olofsson V.
92. Kasper M.
22. Strome R.
21. Van Riemsdyk J.
17. Sharangovich Y.
Line 4
22. Appleton M.
76. Pospisil M.
15. Dries S.
47. Zary C.
65. Shine D.
70. Lomberg R.
Substitutes
39. Talbot C. (G)
1. Cooley D. (G)
Coaches
. McLellan T.
. Huska R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
01:50, Brzustewicz H. (2 min),
09:28, Shine D. (5 min),
09:28, Pospisil M. (5 min),
14:34, Whitecloud Z. (2 min),
17:35, 0 - 1, Frost M. (G), Gridin M. (A), Coronato M. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 1)
01:03, 1 - 1, Kane P. (G), DeBrincat A. (A),
02:52, Appleton M. (2 min),
02:52, Zary C. (2 min),
05:06, 2 - 1, Finnie E. (G), Johansson A. (A), Raymond L. (A2)
06:37, 3 - 1, Kane P. (G), DeBrincat A. (A), Compher J.T. (A2)
07:23, 3 - 2, Coronato M. (G),
10:41, Gridin M. (2 min),
11:45, 4 - 2, Seider M. (G), DeBrincat A. (A), Compher J.T. (A2)
18:28, Chiarot B. (2 min),
19:58, Zary C. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
07:08, Seider M. (2 min),
07:08, Coleman B. (2 min),
18:55, 5 - 2, Shine D. (G),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 5.
Recent form of Detroit has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Calgary has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Calgary may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
Detroit might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Detroit: Brandsegg-Nygard M.
(Injury)
Copp A.
(Leg Injury)
Larkin D.
(Leg Injury)
Rasmussen M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Calgary: Bean J.
(Injury)
Honzek S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Huberdeau J.
(Hip Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 60:60. (average 3:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Detroit won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 3.1:2.8).
Outrights of NHL for now
Detroit Red Wings: 0.4% Calgary Flames: 0.2%
Last Results with these Odds
Detroit Red Wings - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.96%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.