Match Info

NHL

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, DC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Washington Capitals		Calgary Flames

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.2	3.6	Watch
	1.85	3.85	3.95
	1.87	4.42	3.46
	1.85	4.5	3.46	Watch
	1.8	4	3.4
	1.91	4.37	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2)	4.22 ↑ (4.15)	3.58 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Washington Capitals
51.1%

Draw
22.4%

Calgary Flames
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

22.8%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

22.4%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Calgary Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	18.7%	6.2%

Washington Capitals - Calgary Flames Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Calgary will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Washington Capitals will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)	1. Cooley D. (G)
6. Chychrun J.	37. Kuznetsov Y.
38. Sandin R.	7. Bahl K.
72. Beauvillier A.	20. Coleman B. (A)
17. Strome D.	16. Frost M.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)	86. Farabee J.
Line 2
42. Fehervary M.	94. Pachal B.
3. Roy M.	3. Maatta O.
43. Wilson T. (A)	18. Gridin M.
80. Dubois P.	22. Strome R.
21. Protas A.	47. Zary C.
Line 3
57. Van Riemsdyk T.	19. Parekh Z.
47. Chisholm D.	44. Hanley J.
9. Leonard R.	27. Coronato M.
34. Sourdif J.	11. Backlund M. (C)
24. McMichael C.	95. Olofsson V.
Line 4
53. Frank E.	43. Klapka A.
29. Lapierre H.	17. Sharangovich Y.
22. Duhaime B.	70. Lomberg R.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)	32. Wolf D. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.	. Huska R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
02:46, 1 - 0, Lapierre H. (G), Fehervary M. (A), Chisholm D. (A2)
04:53, Parekh Z. (2 min),
09:13, 2 - 0, Wilson T. (G), Protas A. (A), Strome D. (A2)
17:43, 3 - 0, McMichael C. (G), Sourdif J. (A), Beauvillier A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
16:08, 3 - 1, Gridin M. (G), Maatta O. (A), Strome R. (A2)
17:32, Parekh Z. (2 min),
17:39, 3 - 2, Coleman B. (G), Backlund M. (A), Kuznetsov Y. (A2)
18:55, 3 - 3, Sharangovich Y. (G), Farabee J. (A),
3rd Period (4 - 0)
09:22, Bahl K. (2 min),
10:52, 4 - 3, McMichael C. (G),
11:15, 5 - 3, Sourdif J. (G),
17:14, 6 - 3, Frank E. (G), Duhaime B. (A), Lapierre H. (A2)
19:44, 7 - 3, Leonard R. (G), Sourdif J. (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 4.

Recent performances by Washington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Calgary is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Washington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Washington could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Calgary: Bean J. (Injury) Honzek S. (Upper-Body Injury) Huberdeau J. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Calgary: Hanley J. (Illness) Whitecloud Z. (Upper-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 65:51. (average 3.3:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 2.8:2.7).

Outrights of NHL for now

Washington Capitals: 5.74% Calgary Flames: 0.2%

Last Results with these Odds

Washington Capitals - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.24%, but this team recently wins 77% of matches with these odds.

Calgary Flames - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.99%, but this team recently wins 24% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Capitals
NHL
07.03.26	Boston Bruins - Washington Capitals	3:1 ✺
03.03.26	Washington Capitals - Utah Mammoth	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals	6:2 ✺
27.02.26	Washington Capitals - Vegas Golden Knights	3:2 ✺
25.02.26	Washington Capitals - Philadelphia Flyers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWW
- Calgary Flames
NHL
07.03.26	Calgary Flames - Carolina Hurricanes	5:4 ✺
05.03.26	Calgary Flames - Ottawa Senators	1:4 ✺
03.03.26	Calgary Flames - Dallas Stars	1:6 ✺
01.03.26	Anaheim Ducks - Calgary Flames	3:2 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Los Angeles Kings - Calgary Flames	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
23.01.26	Calgary Flames - Washington Capitals	1:3
25.02.25	Washington Capitals - Calgary Flames	1:3
28.01.25	Calgary Flames - Washington Capitals	1:3
18.03.24	Calgary Flames - Washington Capitals	2:5
16.10.23	Washington Capitals - Calgary Flames	3:2 penalties
03.12.22	Calgary Flames - Washington Capitals	5:2
25.11.22	Washington Capitals - Calgary Flames	3:0

Upcoming Matches