The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Lightning 51.6%
Draw 21.8%
Detroit Red Wings 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
21.6%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
22.1%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Detroit Red Wings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
22.2%
11.1%
Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Detroit will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
39. Talbot C. (G)
67. Carlile D.
53. Seider M. (A)
90. Moser J.J.
77. Edvinsson S.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
23. Raymond L. (A)
71. Cirelli A.
71. Larkin D. (C)
93. Goncalves G.
58. Finnie E.
Line 2
81. Cernak E.
72. Faulk J.
27. McDonagh R. (A)
8. Chiarot B.
10. Perry C.
88. Kane P.
21. Point B.
18. Copp A.
59. Guentzel J. (A)
93. DeBrincat A.
Line 3
78. Lilleberg E.
25. Bernard-Docker J.
51. D'Astous C.
20. Johansson A.
37. Gourde Y.
57. Perron D.
20. Paul N.
37. Compher J.T.
28. Girgensons Z.
43. Mazur C.
Line 4
46. Sabourin S.
65. Shine D.
14. Geekie C.
92. Kasper M.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
21. Van Riemsdyk J.
Substitutes
31. Johansson J. (G)
36. Gibson J. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.
. McLellan T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
05:31, 0 - 1, Perron D. (G), Compher J.T. (A), Chiarot B. (A2)
08:22, D'Astous C. (2 min),
17:05, 1 - 1, Geekie C. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
04:36, Moser J.J. (2 min),
09:19, DeBrincat A. (2 min),
15:53, 2 - 1, Cernak E. (G), McDonagh R. (A), Girgensons Z. (A2)
18:03, 3 - 1, Guentzel J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
02:56, 3 - 2, Kasper M. (G), Van Riemsdyk J. (A), Faulk J. (A2)
10:28, D'Astous C. (2 min),
15:16, 3 - 3, DeBrincat A. (G), Kane P. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:27, 4 - 3, Kucherov N. (G), Point B. (A),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 11).
Tampa Bay is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
In recent matches, Tampa Bay has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Detroit is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Tampa Bay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
Recently, Detroit has had a series of home games.
Tampa Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M.
(Muscle Injury)
Girgensons Z.
(Injury)
Hedman V.
(Personal Reasons)
Holmberg P.
(Upper-Body Injury)
James D.
(Leg Injury)
Raddysh D.
(Injury)
There will not play in Detroit: Rasmussen M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Detroit: Appleton M.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 63:53. (average 3.2:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 3.4:2.4).
Outrights of NHL for now
Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22% Detroit Red Wings: 0.4%
Last Results with these Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.