Match Info

RUSSIA: NMHL

Date: 25 November 2024, Monday


	Dinamo-576		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	1.93	4.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.8)	4.4 ↓ (4.8)	2.9 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo-576
47.5%

Draw
20.8%

Ermak Angarsk
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

19.4%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

18.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo-576 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Ermak Angarsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo-576 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo-576, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 4)
04:06, 0 - 1, Deshkunov A. (G), Starovoitov A. (A),
08:40, 0 - 2, Starovoitov A. (G), Deshkunov A. (A), Botsmanov N. (A2)
15:39, 0 - 3, Malgin D. (G), Bufatin N. (A), Ivanov V. (A2)
19:01, 0 - 4, Ivanov V. (G), Deshkunov A. (A), Botsmanov N. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
00:48, 1 - 4, Ryzhenko K. (G),
06:47, 1 - 5, Asadullin S. (G), Ivanov V. (A), Bufatin N. (A2)
15:09, 2 - 5, Pozhidayev P. (G), Ryzhenko K. (A),
15:48, 3 - 5, Gromakov N. (G), Grishkov A. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
03:45, 4 - 5, Vishnyakov S. (G), Kondratyev G. (A), Gruzdev A. (A2)
06:45, 4 - 6, Vildanov K. (G), Deshkunov A. (A),
19:39, 4 - 7, Berdashkevich I. (G),

Preview

Recent matches Dinamo-576 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ermak is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ermak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ermak have a series of home games.

Dinamo-576 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dinamo-576 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:24 (average 2.2:4.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Dinamo-576 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:12 (average 2.7:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo-576
RHL
24.11.24	Dinamo-576 - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 ✺
19.11.24	Dinamo-576 - Arktika Murmansk	5:2 ✺
18.11.24	Dinamo-576 - Arktika Murmansk	4:1 ✺
12.11.24	Metallurg Cherepovets - Dinamo-576	7:2 ✺
11.11.24	Metallurg Cherepovets - Dinamo-576	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW
- Ermak Angarsk
RHL
24.11.24	Dinamo-576 - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 ✺
12.11.24	Ermak Angarsk - Bryansk	2:7 ✺
11.11.24	Ermak Angarsk - Bryansk	3:2 penalties ✺
08.11.24	Ermak Angarsk - Kaluga	3:2 OT ✺
07.11.24	Ermak Angarsk - Kaluga	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
24.11.24	Dinamo-576 - Ermak Angarsk	2:3
20.02.24	Ermak Angarsk - Dinamo-576	4:1
19.02.24	Ermak Angarsk - Dinamo-576	8:2
30.09.23	Dinamo-576 - Ermak Angarsk	3:7
29.09.23	Dinamo-576 - Ermak Angarsk	3:2

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