Match Info

MHL

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday


	Dinamo-Karelia		AKM Novomoskovsk

	1	X	2
	4.77	5.07	1.52	Watch
	5.25	5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (4.51)	5.04 ↓ (5.7)	1.45 ↓ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo-Karelia
18.3%

Draw
18.3%

AKM Novomoskovsk
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

16.4%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

16.1%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo-Karelia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

AKM Novomoskovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo-Karelia than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM Novomoskovsk than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Dinamo Karelia - AKM Novomoskovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Romanov G. (G)	30. Skryabin N. (G)
24. Petrov A. (A)	79. Ponomaryov D.
7. Gulko A.	4. Pilyugin K.
12. Pavlov I.	75. Orlov D.
35. Fysyna R.	97. Krutenkov A.
37. Kuzmin F. (A)	77. Semenov S. (A)
Line 2
25. Arsentyev I. (C)	3. Badikov A.
3. Sherenkov D.	69. Rostkov V.
28. Pavlovsky D.	9. Onishchenko M. (A)
34. Novikov J.	28. Provotorov V.
29. Kozlovsky B.	93. Domrachev Y.
Line 3
44. Lukoshkov V.	88. Oniskiv B.
5. Volchek P.	24. Kulikov A.
30. Kruzhenkov G.	22. Postovoy A.
11. Afanasyev I.	18. Bogdanov N.
17. Marininov Y.	10. Kazharin I.
Line 4
27. Bondarev A.	14. Terentyev M. (C)
16. Bobryshev I.	15. Gordyukov A.
26. Medvedev Y.	81. Bogatin M.
	17. Chebotayev K.
Substitutes
33. Klimachyov M. (G)	1. Khabibulin R. (G)
9. Matvienko M.	91. Ryzhkov A.
22. Sharov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
08:05, 0 - 1, Onishchenko M. (G), Ponomaryov D. (A), Kazharin I. (A2)
16:51, 1 - 1, Kozlovsky B. (G), Novikov J. (A),
18:19, 1 - 2, Onishchenko M. (G), Oniskiv B. (A), Domrachev Y. (A2)
18:58, 2 - 2, Kozlovsky B. (G), Novikov J. (A), Arsentyev I. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
10:47, 2 - 3, Ponomaryov D. (G), Kazharin I. (A), Onishchenko M. (A2)
11:34, 2 - 4, Postovoy A. (G), Kulikov A. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
09:39, 2 - 5, Rostkov V. (G), Orlov D. (A), Domrachev Y. (A2)
14:19, 3 - 5, Marininov Y. (G),
15:14, 3 - 6, Krutenkov A. (G),
17:05, 4 - 6, Novikov E. (G), Gulko A. (A), Pavlovsky D. (A2)

Preview

A run of poor results has hit both teams ahead of this match.

Dinamo-Karelia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, AKM Novomoskovsk is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo-Karelia Kondopoga
MHL
26.09.25	Dinamo-Karelia - Sputnik Almetyevsk	2:6 ✺
24.09.25	SKA-1946 - Dinamo-Karelia	12:0 ✺
21.09.25	Mikhaylov Academy - Dinamo-Karelia	12:2 ✺
14.09.25	Dinamo-Karelia - Sakhalinskie Akuly	2:5 ✺
13.09.25	Dinamo-Karelia - Sakhalinskie Akuly	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AKM Novomoskovsk
MHL
26.09.25	Spartak MAX - AKM Novomoskovsk	4:2 ✺
23.09.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Mamonty Yugry	2:3 OT ✺
20.09.25	Belye Medvedi - AKM Novomoskovsk	7:0 ✺
17.09.25	Avto - AKM Novomoskovsk	6:0 ✺
11.09.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Molot Perm	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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