Match Info

RUSSIA: MHL

Date: 24 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Kondopoga)


	Dinamo-Karelia		Russkie Vityazi

	1	X	2
	6.14	5.35	1.35
	6.08	5.5	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.11 ↓ (6.67)	5.43 ↓ (6.6)	1.36 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo-Karelia
15.1%

Draw
17%

Russkie Vityazi
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

14.2%

71.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

10.4%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo-Karelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Russkie Vityazi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo-Karelia than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Russkie Vityazi than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Russkie Vityazi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dinamo Karelia - Russkie Vityazi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Klimachyov M. (G)	32. Smirnov L. (G)
36. Shalimov A.	29. Vanin G. (C)
38. Kobets I.	6. Vasiliev Y.
32. Ivanov K.	77. Bashlykov Y.
14. Pilshchikov G.	94. Fatkullin D.
30. Kruzhenkov G.	58. Zhirov S. (A)
Line 2
24. Petrov A. (A)	92. Ignatov N. (A)
2. Guzeyev V.	12. Istomin L.
10. Bosamykin G.	62. Marchenko T.
13. Agapov R.	49. Soshnikov A.
31. Rakov P.	99. Saranov P.
Line 3
17. Davydov V.	76. Fomenko Z.
9. Ryabkin V.	74. Akimov G.
25. Arsentyev I. (C)	17. Sklyarenko A.
7. Afanasyev D. (A)	85. Drozdov V.
6. Chemerinsky A.	81. Sulima V.
Line 4
4. Zolotovsky D.	89. Khvatov M.
37. Kuzmin F.	71. Babayev Y.
35. Fysyna R.	22. Shokhin A.
11. Savin V.
Substitutes
40. Gulkovsky K. (G)	30. Astakhov M. (G)
	47. Krayushkin M.
	8. Shuvalov N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:09, 1 - 0, Ryabkin V. (G), Davydov V. (A),
10:58, 2 - 0, Petrov A. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
05:06, 2 - 1, Sulima V. (G), Ignatov N. (A), Soshnikov A. (A2)
06:43, 2 - 2, Saranov P. (G), Soshnikov A. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
04:24, 2 - 3, Marchenko T. (G), Soshnikov A. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches SKA Karelia won 1.

SKA Karelia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Russkie Vityazi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Russkie Vityazi is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches SKA Karelia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24:23 (average 3.4:3.3).

Including matches at home between the teams SKA Karelia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:15 (average 2.5:3.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo-Karelia Kondopoga
MHL
23.12.24	Dinamo-Karelia - Russkie Vityazi	2:4 ✺
18.12.24	MHC Dynamo Moscow - Dinamo-Karelia	6:1 ✺
15.12.24	MHC Spartak - Dinamo-Karelia	8:2 ✺
11.12.24	Kapitan Stupino - Dinamo-Karelia	3:1 ✺
05.12.24	SKA-Akademiya - Dinamo-Karelia	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Russkie Vityazi
MHL
23.12.24	Dinamo-Karelia - Russkie Vityazi	2:4 ✺
17.12.24	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Russkie Vityazi	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	SKA-1946 - Russkie Vityazi	5:1 ✺
11.12.24	Loko - Russkie Vityazi	3:2 OT ✺
09.12.24	Almaz - Russkie Vityazi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
23.12.24	Dinamo-Karelia - Russkie Vityazi	2:4
21.01.24	Dinamo-Karelia - Russkie Vityazi	2:3
20.01.24	Dinamo-Karelia - Russkie Vityazi	4:5 OT
16.01.24	Russkie Vityazi - Dinamo-Karelia	1:4
15.01.24	Russkie Vityazi - Dinamo-Karelia	6:5 OT
04.01.23	Russkie Vityazi - Dinamo-Karelia	1:5
14.09.22	Dinamo-Karelia - Russkie Vityazi	2:3 penalties

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