Match Info

MHL

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Dinamo-Karelia		Spartak MAX

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.9	1.48
	4.69	4.9	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↓ (5.4)	4.9 ↓ (6)	1.49 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo-Karelia
19.7%

Draw
18.7%

Spartak MAX
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

15.6%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

16.5%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo-Karelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Spartak MAX has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak MAX might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo-Karelia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak MAX than the current prediction. (+2%)

Dinamo Karelia - Spartak MAX Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
76. Bondarenko K. (G)	70. Midlak Y. (G)
24. Petrov A. (A)	83. Yevplov S.
53. Lvov D.	73. Zhiryakov V. (C)
17. Marininov Y.	78. Murashev Y.
25. Arsentyev I.	21. Belugin I.
51. Mamonov F. (A)	15. Kromberg M.
Line 2
45. Vasilevsky D.	75. Ustsov D.
7. Gulko A.	55. Karlik D.
42. Sementsov S.	61. Oblashchikov I.
39. Korzik S.	64. Pivchulin G.
34. Novikov Y.	97. Ogorodnikov Y.
Line 3
3. Sherenkov D.	44. Seleznyov D.
59. Grishkov A.	31. Babkin I.
52. Mustayev A.	90. Kachalov Y. (A)
11. Afanasyev I.	8. Safronov A.
26. Medvedev Y.	96. Perelygin G. (A)
Line 4
14. Prokopenko F.	82. Sanin D.
21. Pogosbekyan A.	43. Karaserli Y.
36. Eliseev I.	79. Vuichenko I.
16. Bobryshev I. (C)	18. Anisimov D.
75. Orlov D.	24. Tatsi M.
Substitutes
33. Klimachyov M. (G)	36. Yegorov Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
06:18, 0 - 1, Belugin I. (G), Murashev Y. (A), Zhiryakov V. (A2)
16:01, 0 - 2, Belugin I. (G), Kachalov Y. (A), Zhiryakov V. (A2)
17:59, 0 - 3, Perelygin G. (G), Karlik D. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 4)
03:10, 1 - 3, Marininov Y. (G), Novikov Y. (A), Korzik S. (A2)
09:02, 1 - 4, Oblashchikov I. (G), Zhiryakov V. (A),
11:47, 1 - 5, Perelygin G. (G), Karlik D. (A), Oblashchikov I. (A2)
12:12, 1 - 6, Kromberg M. (G), Murashev Y. (A),
17:33, 1 - 7, Ogorodnikov Y. (G), Pivchulin G. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
07:18, 2 - 7, Korzik S. (G), Arsentyev I. (A), Marininov Y. (A2)
18:16, 3 - 7, Marininov Y. (G), Korzik S. (A), Mamonov F. (A2)

Preview

Dinamo-Karelia is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Spartak MAX has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Spartak MAX is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dinamo-Karelia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 3.3:6.3).

Including home match between the teams, Dinamo-Karelia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6.

Last Results with these Odds

Dinamo-Karelia - the odds 5.4 are the expected chance of winning is 17.29%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo-Karelia Kondopoga
MHL
02.03.26	Dinamo-Karelia - Spartak MAX	3:6 ✺
26.02.26	Kapitan Stupino - Dinamo-Karelia	6:2 ✺
25.02.26	Kapitan Stupino - Dinamo-Karelia	4:3 ✺
22.02.26	Dinamo-Karelia - MHC Dynamo Moscow	1:4 ✺
19.02.26	AKM-Junior - Dinamo-Karelia	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- MHC Spartak MAX
MHL
02.03.26	Dinamo-Karelia - Spartak MAX	3:6 ✺
27.02.26	Spartak MAX - Red Machine Junior	2:3 ✺
25.02.26	Atlant - Spartak MAX	5:3 ✺
22.02.26	Spartak MAX - Dinamo St. Petersburg	2:7 ✺
20.02.26	Red Machine Junior - Spartak MAX	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
02.03.26	Dinamo-Karelia - Spartak MAX	3:6
18.11.25	Spartak MAX - Dinamo-Karelia	5:4
17.11.25	Spartak MAX - Dinamo-Karelia	8:3

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