Match Info

KHL

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Minsk-Arena (Minsk)


	Dinamo Minsk		HC CSKA Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.89	3.67	2.21
	2.8	3.55	2.16
	2.81	4.26	2.28	Watch
	2.7	3.95	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.76)	3.86 ↓ (4.29)	2.2 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Minsk
33.3%

Draw
24.2%

HC CSKA Moscow
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

22.6%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

21.4%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

HC CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Dinamo Minsk - HC CSKA Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Fucale Z. (G)	33. Gamzin D. (G)
24. Smith T.	89. Nesterov N. (A)
27. Brook J.	9. Zamula Y.
37. Chukhraev A.	98. Mamin M.
71. Tierney C. (C)	15. Karnaukhov P. (C)
7. Anas S. (A)	10. Kostin K.
Line 2
61. Ouellet X.	65. Cotton A.
28. Bischoff J.	55. Okhotyuk N.
26. Sotishvili D.	34. Gurianov D.
9. Lipsky D.	51. Kovalenko N.
14. Kuznetsov S. (A)	19. Drozdov I.
Line 3
93. Kuzmin D.	79. Roy J.
33. Lyle B.	22. Hamilton R.
72. Alistrov V.	61. Khairullin M.
80. Usov I.	27. Sorkin M. (A)
97. Galiyev S.	13. Poltapov P.
Line 4
62. Lozovsky K.	5. Samorukov D.
76. Maltsev M.	72. Buchelnikov D.
22. Gardner R.	26. Barach D.
40. Kalinin S.	95. Privalov N.
Substitutes
68. Belkin B.	31. Samonov A. (G)
94. Demchenko V. (G)
Coaches
. Brylin S.	. Nikitin I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
04:45, Barach D. (2 min),
11:09, Smith T. (2 min),
11:55, 0 - 1, Khairullin M. (G), Zamula Y. (A), Barach D. (A2)
12:23, 0 - 2, Hamilton R. (G), Karnaukhov P. (A), Mamin M. (A2)
17:24, Barach D. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
12:36, 0 - 3, Khairullin M. (G), Samorukov D. (A), Poltapov P. (A2)
12:36, Fucale Z. ↓, Demchenko V. ↑,
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:51, Buchelnikov D. (2 min),
01:51, Buchelnikov D. (2 min),
03:09, 1 - 3, Sotishvili D. (G), Lipsky D. (A), Ouellet X. (A2)
15:15, 1 - 4, Drozdov I. (G), Hamilton R. (A), Sorkin M. (A2)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th in the Promotion ~ KHL Playoffs1/8~finals) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ KHL Playoffs1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Minsk won 3.

Dinamo Minsk has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

CSKA is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Dinamo Minsk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, CSKA has had a run of games away from home.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Minsk has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 68:41 (averaging 3.4:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dinamo Minsk against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 44:17 goals (averaging 4:1.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Dinamo Minsk - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 35.17%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Dinamo Minsk
KHL
28.09.26	Dinamo Minsk - Lada Togliatti	5:4 ✺
26.09.26	Shanghai Dragons - Dinamo Minsk	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Dinamo Minsk	4:3 OT ✺
20.09.26	Dinamo Minsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	5:3 ✺
18.09.26	Dinamo Minsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWW
- HC CSKA Moscow
KHL
29.09.26	HC CSKA Moscow - SKA Saint Petersburg	6:5 ✺
25.09.26	Lada Togliatti - HC CSKA Moscow	0:5 ✺
23.09.26	Amur Khabarovsk - HC CSKA Moscow	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	Admiral Vladivostok - HC CSKA Moscow	3:4 penalties ✺
18.09.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - HC CSKA Moscow	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.26	Dinamo Minsk - HC CSKA Moscow	3:0
KHL
06.01.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Dinamo Minsk	4:2
20.11.25	Dinamo Minsk - HC CSKA Moscow	5:2
03.11.25	Dinamo Minsk - HC CSKA Moscow	2:0
20.10.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Dinamo Minsk	5:3
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
31.08.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Dinamo Minsk	3:2
19.08.25	Dinamo Minsk - HC CSKA Moscow	4:1

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