Match Info

KHL

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday

Location: Traktor Arena (Chelyabinsk)


	Traktor Chelyabinsk		HC CSKA Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.75	2.98
	2.11	4.35	2.92	Watch
	2.1	4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.39)	4.03 ↓ (4.27)	2.97 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Traktor Chelyabinsk
44.8%

Draw
23.4%

HC CSKA Moscow
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

22.7%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

22.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Traktor Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

HC CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Traktor Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Traktor Chelyabinsk - HC CSKA Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Traktor will win (votes: 9 - 90%). CSKA will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Traktor: 71.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Traktor Chelyabinsk will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Lozebnikov D. (G)	33. Gamzin D. (G)
26. Day L.	55. Okhotyuk N.
2. Dronov G.	89. Nesterov N. (A)
74. Kravtsov V.	19. Drozdov I.
94. Grigorenko M. (A)	23. Gardner R.
90. Leivo J.	15. Karnaukhov P. (C)
Line 2
79. Gross J.	5. Samorukov D.
72. Telegin S. (A)	79. Roy J.
25. Zharkov V.	51. Kovalenko N.
78. Kadeykin A. (C)	16. Zernov D.
96. Korshkov Y.	34. Gurianov D.
Line 3
82. Pribylsky A.	88. Yeryomenko V.
48. Koromyslov A.	45. Provolnev V.
85. Der-Arguchintsev S.	11. Abramov V.
97. Glotov V.	27. Sorkin M. (A)
45. Goryunov-Rolgizer M.	13. Poltapov P.
Line 4
95. Aglamzyanov R.	76. Shuravin M.
19. Nikonov A.	70. Yanchenko I.
12. Rykov A.	63. Mingachyov T.
	97. Churkin A.
Substitutes
40. Sherstnev S. (G)	32. Samonov A. (G)
Coaches
. Richer R.	. Nikitin I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
04:28, Shuravin M. (2 min),
16:34, 1 - 0, Kadeykin A. (G), Koromyslov A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:58, Kadeykin A. (2 min),
01:52, 1 - 1, Kovalenko N. (G), Drozdov I. (A), Nesterov N. (A2)
03:30, 1 - 2, Karnaukhov P. (G), Churkin A. (A), Drozdov I. (A2)
03:52, Nikonov A. (2 min),
09:14, 2 - 2, Kadeykin A. (G), Koromyslov A. (A), Korshkov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
00:55, Kadeykin A. (2 min),
01:41, 2 - 3, Poltapov P. (G), Roy J. (A),
04:20, Sorkin M. (2 min),
16:36, Koromyslov A. (2 min),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Traktor won 4.

In recent matches, Traktor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

CSKA's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Traktor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, CSKA has had a series of home games.

Traktor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Traktor won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 32:49. (average 1.6:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Traktor won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.9:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

HC CSKA Moscow - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 36.64%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Traktor Chelyabinsk
KHL
03.12.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Traktor Chelyabinsk	5:3 ✺
01.12.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Traktor Chelyabinsk	3:2 ✺
28.11.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Sochi	6:1 ✺
26.11.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Shanghai Dragons	9:0 ✺
20.11.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Amur Khabarovsk	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWL
- HC CSKA Moscow
KHL
03.12.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:5 penalties ✺
01.12.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	2:3 penalties ✺
27.11.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Lada Togliatti	4:2 ✺
24.11.25	HC CSKA Moscow - SKA Saint Petersburg	1:4 ✺
20.11.25	Dinamo Minsk - HC CSKA Moscow	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
21.11.24	Traktor Chelyabinsk - HC CSKA Moscow	5:2
05.10.24	HC CSKA Moscow - Traktor Chelyabinsk	0:4
03.12.23	Traktor Chelyabinsk - HC CSKA Moscow	3:1
07.11.23	HC CSKA Moscow - Traktor Chelyabinsk	0:4
08.01.23	Traktor Chelyabinsk - HC CSKA Moscow	1:2
24.10.22	HC CSKA Moscow - Traktor Chelyabinsk	5:2
23.09.21	Traktor Chelyabinsk - HC CSKA Moscow	2:1

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