Match Info

Date: 28 December 2021, Tuesday


	Dinamo Riga		Avangard Omsk

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.5	1.6	Watch
	5	4.75	1.55
	4.5	4.7	1.6	Watch
	5	4.6	1.53
	4.71	5.05	1.53
	4.2	4.5	1.6
	5.35	4.9	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (3.76)	4.71 ↑ (4.2)	1.56 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Riga
19.8%

Draw
19.9%

Avangard Omsk
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

22.7%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

18%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo Riga's form might have worsened.

Avangard Omsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avangard Omsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Riga than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Omsk than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avangard Omsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	5.3%	84.2%

Dinamo Riga - Avangard Omsk Predictions

Users Predictions: Avangard Omsk will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Dinamo Riga is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Avangard is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dinamo Riga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dinamo Riga have a series of home games.

In this match Avangard is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Dinamo Riga won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 36-59.

Including matches at home between the teams Dinamo Riga won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Riga
KHL
26.12.21	Dinamo Riga - Kunlun	3:2 penalties ✺
22.12.21	Vityaz Balashikha - Dinamo Riga	2:3 OT ✺
20.12.21	Dinamo Riga - Dinamo Minsk	1:4 ✺
12.12.21	Dinamo Riga - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	1:3 ✺
10.12.21	Dinamo Riga - Vityaz Balashikha	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLL
- Avangard Omsk
KHL
26.12.21	Jokerit - Avangard Omsk	1:5 ✺
23.12.21	Avangard Omsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:2 ✺
21.12.21	Avangard Omsk - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	3:2 OT ✺
12.12.21	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avangard Omsk	3:2 ✺
10.12.21	Severstal Cherepovets - Avangard Omsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
06.12.21	Avangard Omsk - Dinamo Riga	4:1
09.02.21	Avangard Omsk - Dinamo Riga	5:1
27.01.21	Dinamo Riga - Avangard Omsk	1:2
12.10.19	Avangard Omsk - Dinamo Riga	4:1
02.10.19	Dinamo Riga - Avangard Omsk	0:7
23.11.18	Dinamo Riga - Avangard Omsk	3:0
05.10.18	Avangard Omsk - Dinamo Riga	5:2

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