Match Info

KHL

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday

Location: G-Drive Arena (Omsk)


	Avangard Omsk		Metallurg Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.68	2.26
	2.75	3.60	2.20
	2.92	4.13	2.17	Watch
	2.75	3.95	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.51)	3.84 ↓ (4.3)	2.19 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avangard Omsk
33.2%

Draw
24.3%

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

22.6%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

21.9%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avangard Omsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avangard Omsk's form might have worsened.

Metallurg Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Omsk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Avangard Omsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Avangard will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Metallurg M will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avangard (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Prosvetov I. (G)	20. Smolin A. (G)
55. Cecconi J.	55. Provolnev V. (C)
77. Adamchuk K. (A)	56. Khabarov M.
22. Poturalski A. (A)	28. Tolchinsky S.
92. Ponomaryov V.	27. Todd N. (A)
90. Leivo J.	29. Vovchenko D.
Line 2
28. Ibragimov M.	87. Palivko D.
84. Gulyaev M.	9. Orekhov V.
96. Rashevsky D.	14. Silantyev D.
9. McLeod M.	22. Iskhakov R.
17. Okulov K. (C)	11. Mikhailis N. (A)
Line 3
76. Kazachek A.	72. Minulin A.
95. Starikov L.	74. Siryatsky A.
26. Dolzhenkov K.	84. Fyodorov M.
87. Burlaka G.	39. Kozlov A.
11. Afanasyev Y.	18. Starkov S.
Line 4
73. Kazantsev R.	58. Zelenov Y.
34. Ilyenko A.	92. Kadyshev K.
86. Kozhevnikov K.	93. Nechayev I.
	96. Korotkov N.
Substitutes
31. Ivchenko D. (G)	85. Pavlinsky V. (G)
	63. Vokhmyanin A.
	30. Zavragin Y. (G)
Coaches
. Boucher G.	. Razin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
00:50, 0 - 1, Mikhailis N. (G), Orekhov V. (A), Iskhakov R. (A2)
01:13, Kazachek A. (2 min),
02:06, Orekhov V. (2 min),
02:59, Tolchinsky S. (2 min),
09:39, Kozhevnikov K. (5 min),
11:10, 0 - 2, Todd N. (G), Orekhov V. (A), Vovchenko D. (A2)
11:10, (2 min),
19:11, 1 - 2, Adamchuk K. (G), McLeod M. (A), Gulyaev M. (A2)
19:20, Iskhakov R. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
09:41, 1 - 3, Mikhailis N. (G), Nechayev I. (A), Minulin A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
01:48, Cecconi J. (2 min),
12:10, McLeod M. (2 min),
16:46, 1 - 4, Iskhakov R. (G), Zelenov Y. (A),
17:55, 1 - 5, Korotkov N. (G),

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 7th in the Promotion ~ KHL Playoffs1/8~finals) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ KHL Playoffs1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avangard won 4.

Avangard has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Metallurg M is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Metallurg M may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Avangard has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Metallurg M has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Avangard has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:40 (averaging 2.2:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Avangard against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 21:20 goals (averaging 2.1:2 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Avangard Omsk - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 38.7%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avangard Omsk
KHL
24.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Avangard Omsk	1:2 OT ✺
22.09.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Avangard Omsk	5:1 ✺
20.09.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Avangard Omsk	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avangard Omsk	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Avangard Omsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLW
- Metallurg Magnitogorsk
KHL
26.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:4 ✺
20.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	6:2 ✺
18.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Spartak Moscow	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
13.09.26	Avangard Omsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:2 AET
27.02.26	Avangard Omsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:2 OT
08.01.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avangard Omsk	2:1
26.12.25	Avangard Omsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:1 penalties
27.11.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avangard Omsk	1:3
27.10.25	Avangard Omsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:4
12.10.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avangard Omsk	1:5

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