The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dinamo-Shinnik 31.2%
Draw 23.6%
MHC Spartak 45.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.7%
21.2%
42.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
21%
41.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo-Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo-Shinnik's form might have worsened.
MHC Spartak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo-Shinnik than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo-Shinnik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for MHC Spartak than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Dinamo Shinnik - MHC Spartak Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 5.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Prokhorov Y. (G)
30. Kuzmenko Y. (G)
18. Volochko K.
57. Ukhmylov V.
5. Krishtofik D.
9. Babkin I.
91. Kravchuk A.
96. Perelygin G.
79. Khomchenko O.
21. Belugin I.
8. Khobyan D. (C)
7. Ilyin A.
Line 2
63. Popovsky B.
77. Beny Y.
53. Nevera D. (A)
22. Malkov A. (A)
92. Karaban Y.
54. Rybenok S. (A)
76. Lakhnov I.
28. Rakcheyev N.
10. Pavlov N.
17. Kozhushko S. (C)
Line 3
77. Lozovsky K.
51. Kuzmin Y.
21. Yeliseyev A. (A)
32. Bondar V.
90. Kapustin A.
81. Kochurov D.
87. Belkin B.
26. Mylnikov N.
44. Salygo N.
10. Yakunin Y.
Line 4
27. Sansevich I.
29. Antipov A.
4. Rusakov A.
91. Kachalov Y.
51. Sevko K.
71. Vasilyev D.
12. Gazdevich M.
18. Anisimov D.
7. Borodulin K.
Substitutes
2. Vlasenko K. (G)
1. Kotov S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
10:17, 1 - 0, Khomchenko O. (G), Kapustin A. (A), Volochko K. (A2)
19:43, 2 - 0, Kapustin A. (G), Salygo N. (A), Krishtofik D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:34, 2 - 1, Kachalov Y. (G), Ukhmylov V. (A),
06:08, 2 - 2, Kozhushko S. (G), Rybenok S. (A),
17:30, 3 - 2, Sansevich I. (G), Kravchuk A. (A), Rusakov A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:49, 4 - 2, Salygo N. (G), Belkin B. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo-Shinnik won 2.
Dinamo-Shinnik is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
MHC Spartak has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
MHC Spartak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
MHC Spartak could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that Dinamo-Shinnik will win today's game, with odds of 3.14.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Dinamo-Shinnik won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 34:61. (average 1.9:3.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo-Shinnik won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:36. (average 2:3.3).
Last Results with these Odds
MHC Spartak - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.1%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.