The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dinamo St. Petersburg 35.3%
Draw 23.8%
Almaz 41%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.4%
22.8%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
24%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo St. Petersburg's form might have worsened.
Almaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almaz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo St. Petersburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almaz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
11:42, 0 - 1, Savin V. (G), Biryukov V. (A), Konovalov M. (A2)
14:49, 0 - 2, Gulenok T. (G),
15:02, 1 - 2, Ryzhenko K. (G), Pastukhov E. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
17:37, 2 - 2, Starshinov N. (G), Gromakov N. (A), Pastukhov E. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Kalinin T. (Penalty Shot),
1, Starshinov N. (Penalty Shot),
2, Perminov T. (Penalty Shot),
2, Pastukhov E. (Penalty Shot),
3, Okunev I. (Penalty Shot),
3, Gromakov N. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Almaz could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Dinamo SP has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo SP has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 61:55 (averaging 3.1:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dinamo SP against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 33:30 goals (averaging 3.3:3 per game).
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