The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak MAX 28.7%
Draw 22.5%
Almaz 48.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27%
21.9%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
23.8%
47%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak MAX has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Almaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak MAX than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Spartak MAX - Almaz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
70. Midlak Y. (G)
36. Lvov S. (G)
74. Shokhrin K.
4. Smirnov I.
88. Popov M.
19. Gusev M.
78. Murashev Y. (C)
91. Perminov T.
16. Pivchulin G.
72. Kalinin T. (C)
33. Raitsky M.
53. Denezhkin V.
Line 2
82. Sanin D.
98. Gulenok T. (A)
75. Ustsov D.
92. Konovalov M.
79. Vuichenko I. (A)
86. Kopyltsov I.
90. Yakunin Y.
38. Khomitsky V.
9. Kachalov Y. (A)
13. Prishchepa I.
Line 3
43. Gureyev D.
45. Sobolev S.
73. Kazakov K.
43. Kichigin N. (A)
11. Anisimov D.
27. Savin V.
27. Zaripov F.
9. Volzhenkov L.
99. Kokorin V.
93. Kalach M.
Line 4
5. Patsera V.
41. Korsakov A.
97. Ogorodnikov Y.
56. Vasiljev G.
63. Lopukhov A.
58. Biryukov V.
87. Kromberg M.
20. Yurgin S.
Substitutes
59. Fomin Y.
46. Maslov M.
60. Nabokov A. (G)
94. Melchakov A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 2)
00:33, 0 - 1, Konovalov M. (G), Denezhkin V. (A), Kalinin T. (A2)
02:07, 0 - 2, Biryukov V. (G), Gulenok T. (A), Vasilevsky B. (A2)
03:50, 1 - 2, Vuichenko I. (G), Sanin D. (A),
05:57, 2 - 2, Ustsov D. (G), Murashev Y. (A), Sanin D. (A2)
09:08, 3 - 2, Kachalov Y. (G), Sanin D. (A), Yakunin Y. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 2)
06:14, 3 - 3, Perminov T. (G),
11:34, 4 - 3, Zaripov F. (G), Sanin D. (A), Anisimov D. (A2)
16:24, 5 - 3, Ogorodnikov Y. (G), Shokhrin K. (A), Popov M. (A2)
18:08, 6 - 3, Kromberg M. (G), Popov M. (A), Shokhrin K. (A2)
19:50, 6 - 4, Kalinin T. (G), Volzhenkov L. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:55, 6 - 5, Maslov M. (G), Kopyltsov I. (A),
15:49, 7 - 5, Yakunin Y. (G), Shokhrin K. (A), Ustsov D. (A2)
Preview
Spartak MAX is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Almaz is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Spartak MAX could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Spartak MAX has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Almaz is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Almaz in today's match, at odds of 1.86.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Spartak MAX has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:16 (averaging 1.3:5.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Spartak MAX against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:11 goals (averaging 1.5:5.5 per game).
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Midlak Y. (G) 
Fomin Y. 
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