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Current Win Probability
Krylya Sovetov 26.7%
Draw 22%
Almaz 51.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.2%
21.4%
54.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.9%
23.8%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Almaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Krylya Sovetov - Almaz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
74. Stepin N. (G)
36. Lvov S. (G)
49. Levchuk A.
4. Smirnov I.
27. Tereshchenko N. (C)
19. Gusev M.
95. Morozov N. (A)
91. Perminov T.
16. Alisov M.
72. Kalinin T. (C)
71. Lukhanin S.
53. Denezhkin V.
Line 2
78. Buslayev A.
98. Gulenok T. (A)
61. Buranov I.
92. Konovalov M.
88. Mikhlin D.
27. Savin V.
15. Shamolin M. (A)
38. Khomitsky V.
17. Sklyarenko A.
13. Prishchepa I.
Line 3
2. Gomtsyan F.
45. Sobolev S.
10. Bakuradze G.
43. Kichigin N. (A)
25. Gusarov T.
56. Vasiljev G.
47. Fysyna R.
9. Volzhenkov L.
87. Klimovich F.
93. Kalach M.
Line 4
19. Ilyushin D.
41. Korsakov A.
5. Babintsev A.
96. Zakharov I.
37. Platonov Y.
46. Maslov M.
91. Agapov R.
58. Biryukov V.
20. Yurgin S.
Substitutes
80. Khodin Y. (G)
94. Melchakov A. (G)
11. Skuratov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:53, 1 - 0, Morozov N. (G), Lukhanin S. (A), Tereshchenko N. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:01, 1 - 1, Biryukov V. (G), Gusev M. (A), Smirnov I. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:41, 1 - 2, Biryukov V. (G), Denezhkin V. (A), Maslov M. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 2.
In recent outings, Krylya Sovetov has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Almaz shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Krylya Sovetov may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Krylya Sovetov has faced a series of away games on the road.
Almaz is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Krylya Sovetov has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:71 (averaging 2.4:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Krylya Sovetov against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 23:32 goals (averaging 2.3:3.2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Almaz - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.41%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.