Match Info

VHL

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Dinamo St. Petersburg		Rostov

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.6	5.8
	1.46	4.64	5.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.65)	4.62 ↑ (4.45)	5.83 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo St. Petersburg
63.4%

Draw
20.4%

Rostov
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

21.1%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

21.5%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo St. Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo St. Petersburg's performance.

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rostov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo St. Petersburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rostov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dinamo St. Petersburg - Rostov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
22. Velmakin Y. (G)	31. Kapustin K. (G)
79. Tikhonov M.	62. Dimitrov N.
26. Salakhov M. (C)	11. Tsalpanov Y.
31. Mikhailov V.	28. Klimov D.
93. Zugan D.	21. Sergiyevsky Y. (C)
8. Ogirchuk D.	95. Korbit Y.
Line 2
33. Smirnov N.	47. Krikunov V.
7. Kozlovsky Y. (A)	49. Balanov Y. (A)
47. Grebenshchikov S.	9. Myagkov V.
9. Davydov D.	25. Sedantsov O.
12. Chernov A.	26. Urulin S. (A)
Line 3
14. Nurgaliyev E.	6. Gapochkin R.
70. Rodionov Y.	44. Grishin P.
99. Boikov L.	17. Smolyov I.
42. Zhukenov D.	32. Barsukov T.
23. Kotkov V.	8. Sokolov D.
Line 4
11. Yezhov I.	55. Machugin D.
78. Nechayev A. (A)	88. Voloskov G.
96. Zinchenko I.	23. Kamensky Y.
	64. Sorokin S.
Substitutes
88. Kulikov D. (G)	70. Petkilev Y. (G)
	20. Puzyakov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
11:34, 0 - 1, Myagkov V. (G), Sedantsov O. (A), Urulin S. (A2)
12:36, 0 - 2, Voloskov G. (G), Sorokin S. (A), Tsalpanov Y. (A2)
13:09, 0 - 3, Sergiyevsky Y. (G), Korbit Y. (A), Balanov Y. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:53, 1 - 3, Ogirchuk D. (G), Yezhov I. (A), Rodionov Y. (A2)
10:29, 1 - 4, Barsukov T. (G), Smolyov I. (A), Balanov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
09:29, 2 - 4, Tikhonov M. (G), Zhukenov D. (A), Boikov L. (A2)
16:13, 2 - 5, Korbit Y. (G), Tsalpanov Y. (A),
18:00, 3 - 5, Zugan D. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Dinamo SP has had a series of away games.

Recently, Rostov has had a series of home games.

In this match, Dinamo SP is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 42:28. (average 3.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo SP won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 3.8:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
19	Dinamo St. Petersburg	11	4	1	1	5	30:36	11

Last Results with these Odds

Dinamo St. Petersburg - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.85%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Rostov - the odds 4.25 are the expected chance of winning is 22.07%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Dinamo St. Petersburg
VHL
13.03.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Buran Voronezh	4:2 ✺
05.03.26	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Dinamo St. Petersburg	11:1 ✺
03.03.26	Rubin Tyumen - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Zauralie Kurgan - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:3 ✺
27.02.26	Omskie Krylia - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWL
- HC Rostov
VHL
13.03.26	SKA-VMF - Rostov	5:0 ✺
06.03.26	Rostov - Norilsk	1:3 ✺
04.03.26	Rostov - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Rostov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Rostov - Dynamo-Altay	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
07.09.25	Rostov - Dinamo St. Petersburg	4:3
26.12.24	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Rostov	2:1 penalties
21.11.24	Rostov - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:6
19.12.23	Rostov - Dinamo St. Petersburg	6:3
28.10.23	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Rostov	3:2 OT
11.02.23	Rostov - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:2
09.09.22	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Rostov	3:2 OT

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